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Frog Town

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Everything posted by Frog Town

  1. Amazing how different all the models are within 36 hours of this event. Throwing darts really. Did DOGE get to the model suits??
  2. Detroit crew reeling this one back in. Like the good ole' 2010's
  3. Our two Hi-RES(At least the ones I have access two, NAM/RGEM) models are at both end of the spectrums. Nice.
  4. What I trust is seasonal trends, which have been flatter/weaker/se. Haven't had an amped system yet this season, at least with Arctic air in place.
  5. Craziness! Even if 25-50% of that verified would be epic.
  6. Hasn't just about every storm this season trended SE this season about 3-5 days out. I feel like the TPV will push the pattern slightly SE, albeit not to the extent as the previous storms. Not that I'm pulling for my backyard, it's just hard to ignore seasonal trends.
  7. Impossible with the positioning of the TPV. Little too much of a good thing..
  8. Week of 2/3-2/7 looks like our next legitimate threat with cold pressing again but a bit more west and not as strong. We shall see...
  9. Yeah, I don't think this cold pattern is changing anytime soon. Maybe a relaxing of the pattern, which is what we all want for better snow chances, but not a big a warm up. Thinking mid to end of February for that. But even then I bet it's a slow warm up with a lot of ice chances.
  10. Factoring in the SE trend this winter, it should be a Florida special.
  11. Assuming this takes into account the change in the wind chill scale.
  12. From too far east to too far west....LOl. Wouldn't that be a kick in the nuts!
  13. Calling it now...Chicago special while Detroit gets rain.
  14. Just when it can't look any worse, it will get better.
  15. Could this be any indication that the trough is coming in a bitter further west?
  16. Big pattern drivers say no warm-up. Kind of need to ignore the models unless 3 days out for precip.
  17. It's a mirage....February is gonna be colder and stormier than January in the great lakes points west. Maybe a slight relaxing of the pattern at the end of the month, but it'll be temporary.
  18. Same here. Must of been the high RH.
  19. SE ridge will put that back up to the Mason-Dixon line. Our chance in the southern GL is when the pattern reloads, but unfortunately that has been a thread the needle thing lately with how quickly the cold reloads. We need a bigger warmup to let things shift back west a bit. Otherwise it's a southern winter.
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