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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. IMO, June 2012 derecho was the worst forecast bust for severe weather. "See Text" to a Federal Disaster in 12 hours.
  2. That cell was impressive. Looks like its rapidly falling apart now though.
  3. Nope, I'm near harpers ferry's and nothing was close to severe.
  4. Sitting at the Bavarian Inn in Sheperdstown, WV and theres constant thunder from the NW. Beautiful lunch spot y'all need to come out here.
  5. Yup. Not bashing folks, just making an observation that during events like this wx comms can be an issue...our office doesn't rely on automated systems to push stuff to social media. There's too many cases of it causing more confusion than help.
  6. A number of universities leverage automated services from a private sector company out of central PA. University of MD College Park got slammed for this automated tornado warning service last year when there was no tornado warning.
  7. Automated machine learning BS. They got flamed, rightfully so, in the comments section.
  8. New event. Severe Thunderstorm Watch from 5/23/2019 9:20 PM to 5/24/2019 12:00 AM EDT for Carroll County, MD. https://inws.ncep.noaa.gov/a/a.php?i=34202985
  9. I agree with Yoda. Could be a rogue boomer or two overnight and I favor the northern areas where there may be a remnant boundary or better instability.
  10. National Weather Service has confirmed an EF1 tornado touched down in the Columbia area of Howard County on Thursday at 15:34 hrs.
  11. @Kmlwxis right about June storms. The need to rapidly generate their own cold pool and benefit from a strong EML to push them over the terrain and prevent downsloping.
  12. The cell which moved from Winchester across northern Montgomery probably produced that. Cloud tops maxed out around 50kft which is a good size for this part of the country. 235k power outages in the DC area but that pales in comparison to the derecho where each county had about 240k in the dark for days.
  13. New event. Severe Thunderstorm Warning from 5/23/2019 2:26 PM to 3:00 PM EDT for Montgomery County, MD. https://inws.ncep.noaa.gov/a/a.php?i=34171840
  14. Surprised that little blob west of Winchester isnt warned.
  15. Might salvage a good shelf cloud pic or two from this stuff.
  16. Thanks. Might be some low topped gusty stuff with minimal lightning? Whats shear looking like?
  17. Am mobile, what the CAPE, lapse rates and supercell composite like in dc?
  18. New event. Severe Thunderstorm Watch from 5/23/2019 1:02 PM to 8:00 PM EDT for Montgomery County, MD, Carroll County, MD. More information.
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