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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. SPC mesoanalysis shows belt of 40-60kt shear from I-66 down to CHO coinciding with SBCAPE recovering. Wouldn't shock me if we get a lower end severe thunderstorm watch later today. I'm back up to 71 degrees again at home so we are recovering this airmass somewhat even up in Baltimore.
  2. We have a decent amount of shear and low level moisture so the wet microburst potential is still there.
  3. There ya go. Unlikely we ever see one of those around here.
  4. IIRC, the destructive tag is golf ball sized hail or 80 mph winds
  5. LWX starting to process LSRs and it seems like something may have touched down in Fairfax County, possibly Calvert County too.
  6. Severe Thunderstorm Warnings do not trigger Wireless Emergency Alerts unless the SVR is tagged for 'Destructive': https://www.foxweather.com/extreme-weather/destructive-thunderstorm-alerts-what-they-are-and-why-the-nws-issues-them
  7. Unless SPC is seeing something that we aren't, I think we're primed for Round #2...perhaps even one that surpasses this morning's activity in some areas.
  8. SPC issues Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 23:00 UTC. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0278.html
  9. IAD and DCA terminal doppler radar had a legit couplet.
  10. Looks like maybe a 2nd couplet on IAD terminal near Loudoun/Montgomery/Frederick county border?
  11. TOR for Montgomery and Fairfax until 12:24 pm. Wonder if it was warned off one of the terminal dopplers?
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