Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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12z OP GFS appears to be into eastern Maine / PEI? The 850/925 low track would suggest some nasty weather from the CT/RI border east.
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Would bet that we'll have a much better idea of the storm track over the next 24 hours. All of the players will be either over the upper air network in North America or sampled by the hurricane hunters.
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I just got accepted into an emergency management class the week of the 25th that I've been waitlisted for 3 years on. It won't be offered again until autumn 2024. Bank on a hurricane canceling the class.
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HRRR likes some PM storms north of I-66 and then another round of storms Tuesday evening.
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I was looking at yesterdays run . This is what I get for trying to start a cloudy Monday with no coffee.
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M1.00" overnight
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On the last few frames of the infrared satellite, you can really see the eye of Lee clear out and become symmetrical.
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That little training over Baltimore County has really been impressive. Just sustaining itself.
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Yea we've been getting fringed that that activity over Granite. Steady farmer's rain.
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Couple of the 18z GEFS appear to want to hook into central or western Long Island.
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18z GEFS will be interesting. if they all try to bend back west then maybe the GFS is onto something.
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18z GFS OP into Portsmouth, NH
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2023 Atlantic Hurricane season
Eskimo Joe replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Naw. Worst case scenario for the Mid Atlantic would be a stalled front for a week that saturates the ground then you get a Cat 2 or 3 into Norfolk that slowly turns right to Philly over the course of two days. -
Looksike a line trying to get its act together for you. Towers shooting up just to my north.
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Garden, Lawn, and Other Green Stuff Thread
Eskimo Joe replied to mattie g's topic in Mid Atlantic
Same here. We've been trying to fertilize and water where we can for a last burst of color to help the pollinators out, but it looks like too little too late. -
Looks like the Carroll County storms threw an outflow boundary southward into the southerly flow. Might fire something else off. CAMs will always handle these setups poorly. Almost always a nowcasting thing.
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Nudge it west by 75 miles snd slow it down a bit more please.
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Just get me climo and no major torches (60 degrees plus for days on end). That's all I'm asking. Anything more is gravy.
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Perhaps, but I'd put money on it being classic summertime mesoscale precipitation. A few feasts with a lot of famine.
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Yea baby 00z GFS
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Hope we can continue this for a few more days. Fronts stalled north to south can be really beneficial here.
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Special event contingency planning is the bane for local emergency management. Concert organizers refuse to engage and go off into left field in the name of profit. That's not to say that we should bubble wrap everything and cancel at the drop of a shower, but I agree that this appears to be a complete cluster.
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M0.18" today, M0.83" yesterday. Lawns aren't corn chex crispy anymore.
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Looks like that activity south of DC was enhanced by the outflow boundary from the initial activity over DC. I wouldn't be surprised to see it collapse over the next hour.
