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Eskimo Joe

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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    It's riding the western edge of the trough, hence the trajectory looks awkward. If the axis was focused further west by another 100 miles or so, then it would appear more normal. I'm still very bearish on snowfall chances for this winter for 3 reasons: 1.) Uncooperative Pacific 2.) Uncooperative Atlantic blocking 3.) STJ will be deflected too far south and east because #2. I could see this winter setting up where DCA and IAD see a couple of Boxing Day 2010 events where Delmarva jackpots and we smoke cirrus west of the Bay. I don't think my psyche could handle another one of those.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    When the time comes. I know I'm a deb, but I live for snow. As an Eskimo, it's part of my tradition and upbringing. Moving south of Mason-Dixon has been good for my career, but terrible for my passion.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    While I understand this is a single run of an operational model, the 18z GFS has a nice banana high on the Dec 5 - 8 event. That is a requirement for early season snow of any consequence, and difficult to get without Atlantic blocking. Good to see. More please.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    Some good MJO news. Hope this movements towards less Phase 3, 4, 5, continues. Can we just stay in 8, 1, 2 all winter please?
  5. Eskimo Joe
    Yo @Deck Pic where is your forecast?
  6. Eskimo Joe
    I'd be happy with a 2" - 4" snow to rain event. Just get on the board.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    It builds up Canadian snowpack.
  8. Eskimo Joe
  9. Eskimo Joe
    How many times have we seen good patterns at D11 go poof by D5, or get can kicked for 3 weeks then be so muted and torn apart the best you can hope for is 35 and flurries.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    Let's hope this holds.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    Get the trough centered more west over Indiana and we might be in business.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    The Pacific looks much better on today's 12z Euro. No raging firehouse of zonal puke. Add a bit of a transient +PNA in there and we might have a workable window.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    Now //that// is decent. Good heights out west and some Atlantic blocking. Hopefully this isn't a mirage.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    I'd love something like 8"-12" of cold powder on a Friday night with no wind, then a nice reinforcing Clipper coming down two days later to top everything off with something like 3"-5". Deep winter and no consequences.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    What commodity do you deliver? Did you move to AZ permanently?
  16. Eskimo Joe
    Yes. Last night was a step in the right direction. Let's see if this holds. I would rather have a bunch of small to medium size events than one big event. I want to be home with my wife and enjoy snow, not locked in a windowless operations center for days on end.
  17. Eskimo Joe
  18. Eskimo Joe
    I'm smarter than that. Need a more pronounced ridge to scoop that cP air down on us.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    I love your enthusiasm and willingness to provide deep insight. Don't let my eternal pessimism get you down.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    West coast trough floods us with Pacific puke. Classic failure mode.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    The 12z Canadian ensemble would be my preferred evolution. Good Atlantic and Pacific with split flow. The Euro would be an unmitigated disaster and set us up for failure.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    Yup. Take anything beyond HR54 with a grain of salt anymore.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    Purely a qualitative thought on my end, but it seems like the 06z guidance is routinely dry year after year.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    You're learning. Good Atlantic, but terrible Pacific. We can't win this year.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    We'll never have another cold wave of that magnitude again in these parts.
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