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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Both Euro and GFS pumping rhe Midwest ridge. Hard to believe we escape without a burp or two of heat.
  2. Making up for being a terrible snow observation site.
  3. Watch us do upper 90s in early October again.
  4. Am in Tysons. Sky is mordor black to my south. Constant thunder. Definitely some boundary working.
  5. Watch some rando right moving supercell drop right down I-270 today. We're famous for those kind of set ups.
  6. I don't think anyone here could handle another blowtorch winter.
  7. Unless something changes dramatically, it appears that many of us went too high with temperatures for this summer.
  8. Reverse psychology on my part right now. I'm so desperate for winter.
  9. Euro just isn't reliable for rainfall anymore. It's clear something has been tweaked and now it's just too west and too far south or west with QPF maximums.
  10. Saw Mill Rd was wrecked. The storm that went through there ultimately became the tornado warned event in York County.
  11. Agreed. The CWG articles about how this was a bust because no tornadoes were recorded is short sighted. They should know better that damage assessments day up to 10 days and these watch boxes will more than verify.
  12. To be honest, we're fortunate the low level winds weren't more conducive for sustained rotating updrafts. Monday had the potential to be a late breaking High Risk day. Once the 18z special RAOBs went up, it was clear this was going to be a straight line wind kind of day, with embedded spin ups. This reinforces my belief that real mesoscale forecasting hinges on things like soundings, mesonets, and a well rained cadre of field spotters (SKYWARN, fire, EM, DT etc.). It's hilarious and frustrating to see DC bros cackling about how this was a complete bust because the national mall wasn't wiped off the face of the earth, while the suburbs where everyone lives were hit much harder.
  13. As expected, SPC and NWS are out doing real yeoman's work again. AWell done.
  14. Just a heads up for everyone. If you're without power, be wary of downed lines over the next day or two. As the grid is re-energized lines that seem dead may re-energize without warning. We're seeing that across northern Carroll and Baltimore counties this evening.
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