MDstorm
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Everything posted by MDstorm
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The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
MDstorm replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Seeing the models evolve over the last 24 hours has me haunted by the Boxing Day storm of 2010. I was a bit younger then and don’t remember all of the details, but I do remember a snow shield essentially bypassing MD west of the bay as it hit VA, swung east around MD and then swung back to hit areas to the northeast. Someone please tell me that this is not going to happen with this storm. -
6.8 inches here (Northwestern HoCo) before the sleet mixed in. Now, mostly sleet and 13 degrees. With a couple of inches of sleet to go, should get close to or top the 9 inch mark for total frozen.
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First flakes in northwestern HoCo
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From the weather weenie handbook: The op Euro has been known to over amp phased systems in the midrange.
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4.5 inches in western HoCo. Winds picking up and snow flying off of the tree limbs. ❄️
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I know the area well. I’m just south of the Carroll County line. Enjoy the snow!
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SN+ here in Northwestern HoCo. Just hit the 2” mark. ⛄️
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Charge your phone
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Steady snow here for the last 2 hours. Radar not as generous just to my north. Living on the edge can be dangerous. Hoping to cash in here in Western HoCo with banding.
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NAM is getting “bonkers”, too. May have to add “NAM” to your T-shirt, lol.
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Look at the snow fall distribution. The Euro must really be feeling the effects from the developing 50/50 low/convergence. This "squashes" the snow fall from NE to SW. We will see over the next 12 -24 hours as the 50/50 low sets up if the perceived effect of the 50/50 low is being over-estimated allowing heavier snow to creep more northeast.
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lol….. not this time, Commanders.
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Ravens outgained the Steelers and exhibited a defense that bent, but did not really break. However, as frequently happens, the Ravens beat themselves (this time with missed field goals, penalties, and very costly turnovers). I don’t know if it’s the coaching, talent, or poor practice routines. Really good teams don’t beat themselves.
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The anomalously dry Fall continues. The last time we had such a dry Fall was in 1963. If only that analog worked out for the upcoming winter
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I read the thread and realized the analogs that were being used were quite different in terms of sensible weather in these parts. I just thought it was interesting to surmise a +TNH/-WPO/-EPO pattern which could lead to a serviceable winter (as opposed to all of the La Niña —-this winter is going to suck talk).
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https://x.com/webberweather/status/1842599164544192630?s=46&t=7YEptxkR3LfH8Sv9sPDbpg
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Where are we going?
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As good as U Conn is in basketball, it looks like football helps them revert to the mean, Go Terps.
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Torrential downpours for the last hour here. Some lightning and thunder, but no wind.
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If a couple tenths lead to shock and ecstasy, what will 15-20 times that amount do to you?
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WxUSAF bullseye
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The GFS and ICON each have very different evolutions of how Debby plays out. I would say each model is on its own island at this point with the GFS most likely on Gilligan’s Island.
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12z Euro is a soaker.
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Reading this thread over the last few weeks, I have come to the following conclusions:
