HillsdaleMIWeather

18Z GFS basically holds steady 

The NAM has shifted it's low location wildly every run 

Truly the best model 

1 minute ago, A-L-E-K said:

hard 2 hate but yet

For how close we are that spread is ridiculous 

East of the operational seems to be the trend today 

riding the canadian

2 minutes ago, andyhb said:

Eh, historic would mean 18"+. The marginal temperatures are really putting a damper on what could be a top 5 storm.

If this was colder this would be a historic spread the wealther

Gefs is east 

Hoping for a last second slight eastern shift so us Michigan peeps get the better snows too

17 minutes ago, rainsucks said:

nah, Detroit is out of the game for this one unfortunately

An eastern shift would put them back in, with the model instability who knows 

With the snowpack and airmass the warm air issues on the NAM and Euro both seem just odd

Looking good for us so far @Stebo

Lots of very strong members but varied in location

Just now, sbnwx85 said:

Not a historic run around here but the lake effect can’t be ignored. Going to be a long duration event especially on the west coast of Michigan.

Would take only a little shift back east for you guys to be in the money at least 

Gonna be a close one for a lot of people, nasty blizzard conditions for many are a gimme though

0Z GEM is similar to the 12Z run 

1 minute ago, andyhb said:

NAM has this huge slug of warm air aloft at 850 mb + the surface temps are marginal. Cuts into snow totals significantly across the board.

Think that's a possibility or just the nam doing nam things 

NAM looks slightly east so far 

We'll see which model blinks first 

2 minutes ago, Stebo said:

Oh yeah totally love it. At this point I'm just going to stop talking about this storm because the minute I say anything it blows up in my face. Congrats Chicago

We appreciate your input, please dont stop posting

0Z runs gang

Very nice spread the wealth at least

Eastern perspective here, raining hard and wind starting to pick up as the low approaches 

Everyone talking about how the models were in agreement yesterday jinxed it 

The one thing odd is that for such a strong run, the Euro doesn't pump out "much" snow 

Still some much stronger and west ensembles 

Widespread blizzard warning type event if trends hold