HillsdaleMIWeather

6 minutes ago, Chicago WX said:

3.5" at my 6:00 measurement. Still ripping with good flake size. Only about an hour to go. Temp up to 32º. Latest HRRR and RAP says we're pretty much done after this band swings through, with temps getting into the 40's and then rain for the rest of the event. Hopefully we don't lose all the snow cover, but it's gonna be dicey. Alas, I'm pleased with this mornings snowfall...didn't expect it honestly. 

I think you guys will still get more snow later too imo

Hoping those rates make it up here 

IWX forgot to post their morning AFD lol

DTX went conservative as expected

Takes the low further east and much colder, warning level snows into Detroit now 

Kinda shocked Northern MI isn't already under a Blizzard Warning 

NAM now keeps Michigan all snow lol

18Z Euro furthest west it's been all day

18Z GFS furthest east it's been all day 

Gotta love the models 

What do our met friends think?

If the GFS is right IWX, grr and dtx would have to adjust up a lot lol

18Z GFS was actually a pretty big jump east 

Hoping for an over performative storm for everyone 

Downgraded to WWA here

Sadge 

Gem is actually southeast as well too, trend so far tonight 

0Z GFS is slightly east, helps the Michigan numbers well

If you all want a good met analysis, IWX did a good AFD, they think the models are overdoing the rain and how north the warm front gets

NAM is east in Indiana and Michigan if it matters lol

18Z Euro is slightly east and a tiny bit weaker

Some stronger ensembles in the GEFS, still lots of spread

18Z GFS basically holds steady 

The NAM has shifted it's low location wildly every run 

Truly the best model 

1 minute ago, A-L-E-K said:

hard 2 hate but yet

For how close we are that spread is ridiculous 

East of the operational seems to be the trend today 

riding the canadian

2 minutes ago, andyhb said:

Eh, historic would mean 18"+. The marginal temperatures are really putting a damper on what could be a top 5 storm.

If this was colder this would be a historic spread the wealther

Gefs is east 

Hoping for a last second slight eastern shift so us Michigan peeps get the better snows too