HillsdaleMIWeather

18Z NAM starts in about 30 mins so we'll see if it's still going south 

Euro is southeast but only very very slightly so, also the high in Canada is weaker which could maybe have it go back northwest a little in future runs?

GFS ensembles are honestly all over the place lol

1 minute ago, Chicago Storm said:

12z GEM bumped north with he overrunning event.

Not surprising though, given the RGEM bumped north as well.

If the GEM And Euro end up being the north solutions after days of being the south one it's gonna be hilarious

Looking like the NAM isn't really south, just a different orientation, even gets more snow into Illinois 

2 minutes ago, Powerball said:

Not a good sign to see the GEFS shift south like the op GFS, if there's hoping it was a fluke.

The GEFS however only shifted like 25 miles compared to the massive operational run. Guess we'll see at 12Z

06Z Euro is a touch north with the overrunning snow but maybe like 20 miles south with the main storm. But also way more wet.

4 minutes ago, tim123 said:

When does 06z euro start?

Running rn, will post when it's done 

Ensembles look almost the same as 0Z

06Z GFS ensembles don't have as massive a difference as the operational 

06Z GFS is shockingly different than the 0Z run

Just now, Frog Town said:

Can't recall see a IWX Watch worded like that.  Curious if we'll see our first Blizzard Watches in a over a decade...

Blizzard Watches were killed off during the first round of hazard simplification, now they go from Winter Storm Watch to Blizzard Warning

IWX with a very scary worded watch

GRR winter storm watch issued, calling for 8-12 for now, DTX with a similar watch calling for 8-14 meanwhile the 06Z NAM is even more juiced 

1 minute ago, Hoosier said:

Euro actually cut the highest snow amounts compared to 12z run.  It's all relative though.

We're starting to get into the run to run noise for exact totals phase, gonna be interesting to see the ensembles though 

Wetter than the 18Z run but not as crazy as the 12Z run

With rates and winds like the models are predicting, do the Mets here think some places could reach blizzard warning criteria?

Can't wait to read how different the afternoon GRR afd sounds in about two hours lmao