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Posts posted by HillsdaleMIWeather
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18Z GFS was actually a pretty big jump east
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Hoping for an over performative storm for everyone
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Downgraded to WWA here
Sadge
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Gem is actually southeast as well too, trend so far tonight
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0Z GFS is slightly east, helps the Michigan numbers well
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If you all want a good met analysis, IWX did a good AFD, they think the models are overdoing the rain and how north the warm front gets
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NAM is east in Indiana and Michigan if it matters lol
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18Z Euro is slightly east and a tiny bit weaker
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Some stronger ensembles in the GEFS, still lots of spread
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18Z GFS basically holds steady
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The NAM has shifted it's low location wildly every run
Truly the best model
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riding the canadian
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2 minutes ago, andyhb said:
Eh, historic would mean 18"+. The marginal temperatures are really putting a damper on what could be a top 5 storm.
If this was colder this would be a historic spread the wealther
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Hoping for a last second slight eastern shift so us Michigan peeps get the better snows too
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17 minutes ago, rainsucks said:
nah, Detroit is out of the game for this one unfortunately
An eastern shift would put them back in, with the model instability who knows
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With the snowpack and airmass the warm air issues on the NAM and Euro both seem just odd
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Looking good for us so far @Stebo
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Just now, sbnwx85 said:
Not a historic run around here but the lake effect can’t be ignored. Going to be a long duration event especially on the west coast of Michigan.
Would take only a little shift back east for you guys to be in the money at least
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Gonna be a close one for a lot of people, nasty blizzard conditions for many are a gimme though
0Z GEM is similar to the 12Z run
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NAM looks slightly east so far
Jan 11-13th Blizzard
in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Posted
If the GFS is right IWX, grr and dtx would have to adjust up a lot lol