HillsdaleMIWeather

15% hatched for Michigan and NW Ohio later today 

Slight risk today for the Eastern MI peeps, MCSville 

6 minutes ago, Boston Bulldog said:

TD-6 has been upgraded to Gert...unfortunately. Needless to say I don't think this one's going to put up a lot of ACE

Tropical Storm Gert Special Discussion Number   7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL062023
1200 AM AST Mon Aug 21 2023

Recent satellite wind-derived data indicated that winds in the
northeast quadrant were a little over 35 kt.  Conventional enhanced
infrared imagery showed cooling cloud tops of -85 Celsius in the
same region of the cyclone.  Accordingly, the depression is
upgraded to a tropical storm on this Special Advisory.

No changes to the forecast track and intensity philosophy are
required.  Since the environment is still expected to be
hostile with very strong westerly shear during the next day or so, 
Gert should degenerate into a remnant low later today, and 
dissipate by Tuesday.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  21/0400Z 16.7N  55.9W   35 KT  40 MPH
 12H  21/1200Z 16.8N  57.1W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  22/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Roberts

Honestly hilarious, at the 11 PM advisory they said it was dying and it immediately blows up and becomes a storm 

IWX thinking mid week could be MCSville

Perry, Michigan was hit by a tornado. Pretty decent damage in half the town. 

Friday evening bears keeping a close eye on 

lol

The Michigan part of the line got completely eaten by the crapvection

Multiple injuries in a campground near Chicago, tree landed on a tent and camper 

14 minutes ago, Stebo said:

Update, yes and it could be damaging. The line in Wisconsin is accelerating east now.

Right on cue, watch issued

@SteboThink it's gonna make it to our neck of the woods?

5 minutes ago, Harry Perry said:

ILX always seems to have higher SBCAPE, lot of corn nearby? Some of the highest readings I’ve ever witnessed came from ILX where the dew points always seem to be higher than surrounding areas.

Good old corn sweat, central Illinois has a ton of it 

Two EF-0s confirmed in Jackson County 

New line developing for the Michigan peeps 

Aaaaand the award for weirdest polygon of the day goes to DTX

The portion of the line that just came through was fun, 50-60 gusts, soaking rain and lots of thunder and lightning, a classic summer storm.

32 minutes ago, nvck said:

nadocast day2 is very bullish on the tornado potential in se michigan/Detroit area tomorrow... highly doubt that this verifies but will be interesting to see

lol

Enhanced introduced

5 TOR, 30 wind

IEMbot being killed on Twitter again is so damn annoying 

27 minutes ago, nwohweather said:

Really watching these storms as they approach Ohio. It seems the best environment is Coldwater to Fort Wayne & Findlay to Toledo. Anything in that square is pretty darn primed at the moment, seeing LI's around -8 and even -9 with LL lapse rates at 8° C/KM. Shear is solid but helicity is pretty low, a little higher around Hillsdale & Lenawee Counties so maybe something could spin up around there if it's discrete.

Jinxed me lol, the storm moving into my county imploded 

Lots of storms popping up behind the current ones

That storm in St Joseph County Michigan looks like it just tried to drop a tor in the same spot as last week 

We have initiation starting on the MI/IN border in Western MI

And now we wait for the WW

16 minutes ago, Stebo said:

Bit on the fringe of the subforum but Western Kentucky absolutely got destroyed with rain today including Mayfield.

It sucks, some people who were just rebuilding their homes from the tornado just lost them again