The Iceman
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Everything posted by The Iceman
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wrong per usual.
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Latest NBM
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Short answer, it’s closed off 500 MB low in about as perfect a spot as you want.
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Unreal Community
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I thought it was a clear shift towards the GFS regardless of the surface. Still that's a warning level event for most. If the euro is the minimum, i'd still take.
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That’s another significant tick west by the euro ai. And that’s a model that doesn’t really bounce around…. Clear trend now imo.
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That's a massive shift, the UKIE was the furthest east of all guidance previously IRC
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Good thing we aren't in the MA dude, but perhaps you should just stay there.
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America vs Euro's(and Canada) at the moment...I know who I'm rooting for. USA! USA! USA! CMC is still a grazing...
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GFS is like 30 hours of snow for 95 E... This should be the final totals
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still snowing...
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hubba hubba
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Don't you have a place in Cape May? Are you considering going down? They could have legit blizzard conditions.
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
The Iceman replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Yeah this was a good soaking. Much needed to clear off the salt from my car and the roads. Pack by me took a beating though, pretty much gone besides shaded areas and piles. -
Final totals on the 12z NAM: I want to believe, i want to believe, i want to believe
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one word, NAM'd. S Jersey is nuked, but the entire area gets a significant storm. still snowing during this frame too.
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Do they still have the DGEX? That's got to be showing the storm from The Day After Tomorrow.
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You mind quoting it? I can't find that post.
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short answer: There are many layers to the atmosphere than just the 540 thickness. You want the 2M temp maps which shows the actual surface freezing line. That still won't be the answer here because dynamics will mean it can snow above 32 but the 2M temp maps are a more accurate representation of the surface conditions than the 540 thickness.
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Parents and grandparents do and they’re always asking me what the weather is going to do so I follow there just as close as here lol
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Yes it did. We kept holding out hope because of the fucking euro and euro ai on that storm were teases until like 36 hours out.
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I’m saying 18z will be happy hour, it’ll look even better than 12z, 00z with the fresh data is where the rug gets yanked though
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Get ready for chaos because I think the euro is actually going to do it lmao edit: not quite, looked great at hour 72 and 78...but we mostly get the IVT Biggest difference i see is that the GFS bombs the low out to 977, the euro doesn't bomb it out nearly as dramatically hence the block shunts it further east. I thought it looked closer to the GFS though than 00z did.
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Yeesh many of the Gefs are just as bullish as the op… pretty tight cluster to the nw of the mean. this is either going to be an all time fail by the gfs suite or the coup of the decade. My money is on fail but it’s definitely going down swinging.
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interestingly the AIGFS also shifted NW... it was much further east than the OP at 06z and still is, but it definitely shifted towards the OP. I'm thinking we meet in the middle of the GFS and the other models, meaning a close miss. Maybe we can salvage something with the IVT though, won't know until Sunday with that.
