The Iceman
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Everything posted by The Iceman
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Yup, 5-10 miles north up in Hopewell NJ and flurries just started here- 2,426 replies
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- 2
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- heavy snow
- ice pellets
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Also just getting this out of the way now, there will probably be a lull in the storm sometime tomorrow morning as the coastal begins takes over. The radar may even look like complete shit during that time... But if I see a single "that's it? what a bust" post during that time, I'm going to make it my life's mission to make sure you wear a weenie tag for the remainder of this season...
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Rgem further se than 06z. I don't see any reason for panic or concern unless you live in like delaware or south jersey. Other than that everyone looks good for a foot still at least...
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Idk looks fine to me
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January 31-February 2, 2021 Major Winter Storm Observations
The Iceman replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
21/11F and overcast in Hopewell, Nj. WAA snows likely will come in quicker than we thought based on radar. I can't see it holding off all day til 4... Thinking around 2 if things progress as they've been. -
Good luck to you up there Ant, thanks for stopping by with your snow maps the last few days
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Bring it home Steve!!
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New king para gfs has barely wavered the last 24 hours. I'm riding that
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Imo we aren't going to know where the ccb sets up until game time. We know it will fall in a 100 mile radius across se pa and NJ though. I'll take those chances. Most important was no other model looks like the nam. Still long duration snowfall on tap.
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Go on tropical tidbits and hit the previous run button the last 4 or so runs. Consistent is the last thing it's been...
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Models meaning the HRRR, the srefs, and the nam?
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The HRRR is useless inside 18 hours, who's bright ****ing idea was it to extend it out to 48...
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To the yang of this, they are also often historical for someone as well. Let's stop talking about potential screwing, only good vibes here.
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Someone bump this if i meltdown in the next 3 days lol... But if I get over 6 inches, I'll still be happy. That would still be a good storm, nothing memorable but after the awfulness of last year, 2 separate 6" events before February in a mod-strong nina is pretty good... With that said, let's make this a historical one because why not?
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Interesting... Seems like it's further ne with the ccb than the op.. just saying
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Because they're missing out on the ccb that will be over us...
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16-20" could see you guys getting 2ft if things come together quick enough.
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Someone gets fooked. Usually that's DC...
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Upper montco: 16-20" Lower montco: 12-16"
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If I was chasing the 30" lolli, that's the area I'd pick. In between Pottsville and Reading.
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Here's my call, I'll update tomorrow if I feel I need to but not expecting many major changes here on out. PHL: 10-14" NE Philly: 12-16" Levittown: 14-18" Trenton: 14-18" Doylestown: 18-24" Allentown: 20-26" Reading: 20-26" Hopewell: 18-24" West Chester: 16-20" South Jersey: 8-12" Shore points: 2-4" Someone in this forum, likely in the N and W will see 30+". If I missed your backyard, just quote and reply.
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Judging by the snow maps, looks like another maximum from west central to nw NJ. Maybe multiple jackpots?
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21.9" over my house... I guess that's ok . What a run though, we are officially under 24 hour til game time. I'm guessing snow breaks out region wide by 4-5 pm tomorrow.
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Good to see ya here Jrodd! Hope all is well with you buddy. Things seem to be getting better and better up to game time, all the makings of a classic!
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Top 50 for ya https://jcweather.com/50snowstorms.php I think a top 10 storm is definitely plausible. 16.8" would get them there and if banding sets up correctly, could be in reach. These long duration storms definitely have the potential to overperform.
