WestMichigan
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Yesterday GRR wasn’t certain if we even needed a wind advisory. The winds today have been worse than Friday night. Peaked out at 59MPH so far today and the number of gusts above 50 at my house is way higher than Friday night.
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58MPH here in the last 15 minutes.
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GRR probably just guaranteed no snow for us next week in their afternoon AFD. Ostuno was a little excited about our prospects next week. https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=GRR&issuedby=GRR&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1
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Did it soak in or just sit on the surface and run off?
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Experience says cut that in half. I might be wrong, but that has served me well with those models in the past.
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That was fantasy at its best. Actual outcome - 1.45" of rain so far and if I am lucky 1" of snow still on the way.
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Late in the game. Nothin like dashing your hopes as game time approaches.
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Like where you are better than where I am.
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I think this is what Harry and Rogue are frequently complaining about.
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NAM and GFS aren’t that far apart IMBY.
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It is the NAM. Cut the numbers in half and you will be much closer to reality.
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18z NAM almost whiffs Detroit, easy toss.
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Who will be the first to argue the sun angle will prevent accumulation during the daytime hours?
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Winter 2021-22 Short/Medium Range Discussion
WestMichigan replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Hoping for the seasonal trend of a shift south over time. Unfortunately if it starts south now, it will probably keep right on going south until like the last storm I am missed to the south. -
Had about 2" of snow this morning. I can't believe stuff this heavy and we can drift but it sure did. Almost didn't get out of my driveway. Dragging bottom multiple times on the way out to work.
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We managed a couple days of W/WNW winds to get some decent LES but most of the winter it has been exactly as you described it. N or NNW and areas hugging the coast cashing in.
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Pulled off just over 3” of pure fluff today. Pretty good considering the forecast was for basically zero.
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It always does. Every single year it warms up. Just be patient.
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That is cold!
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Just saw in the NE Ohio observation thread the Orrville just went over to sleet/zr. I was hoping things were trending away from that for you guys.
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Finished with about 5" here. Exceeded my expectations for sure.
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Quite the comeback after such a late first 1" of the season.
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Fun to see the Ohio crew looking forward to something. I miss my days in Hilliard of riding the rain/freezing rain/sleet line hoping for a good snow.
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RAP and HRRR were showing some big totals in my area last night also. You would be safe if you halved that and be pleasantly surprised if it comes in higher.
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Mostly a bust around here. Have to go S or E to find snow. Looks like Allegan county fared a little better and then much better around the Kalamazoo, Three Rivers and Paw Paw area.
