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StormyClearweather

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Everything posted by StormyClearweather

  1. Rain gauge is at 2.30 and counting. Wildly heavy downpours, but slacking up a little now. https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KVASTERL168
  2. Sigh. https://bsky.app/profile/nycsouthpaw.bsky.social/post/3lt7r2mjlrc25
  3. From LWX: NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/ DANGEROUSLY HOT TODAY. 5980M HEIGHT OF 500M AT IAD FROM MORNING SOUNDING APPEARING TO BREAK DAILY RECORD AND IS TIED FOR THIRD HIGHEST 12Z VALUE ON RECORD FOR ALL DATES. NOTHING MAJOR CHANGED TO FORECAST TODAY. PREVIOUSLY DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...
  4. Wild - I'm barely east of you and managed .54
  5. Damn, that's crazy. So close, yet so far away for me. But I'm not complaining!
  6. Woot woot. It's the second run in a row with a tropical system in this range. I'm sure it'll be rock solid for the next 30+ runs.
  7. .89 on the day + 8.69" for the month. Fun day!
  8. Quite a signature https://ibb.co/V09SmPcy
  9. Seems to be initializing poorly, so wonder how that bodes for this evening. If anything, feels like it could over-perform.
  10. Downright depressing for some, but glad others cashed in. From CWG. .6 IMBY.
  11. Beautiful evening yesterday.
  12. I don't hate this look. 3K NAM has it pushing through a couple of hours later.
  13. I mean, someone had to post it. The weeniest of weenie maps.
  14. And Kuchera ratios are 14 to 15:1. More like 16:1 in PSU land. Watch out!
  15. Well this would be a nice little treat, I suppose. Better than cloudy wind.
  16. Fair point, lake effect can obviously be tricky to forecast. But I think they're at 50" so far this Winter, so do they care? Maybe the answer is yes, but seems like it'd be similar to us being forecast to getting .5 of rain and only getting some clouds and drizzle.
  17. Good guess. Try Stormy Clearweather from Reba. I grew up on that show, don't judge me.
  18. I think it takes a lot less for Buffalo to get a good snow than it does for us, so in that way, sure. But I think anything that's well outside the norm (such as a major snowfall is for us) has a lot more room for error, because so many things have to come together for it to happen, usually. All Buffalo needs is a cold front with a westerly wind over a non-iced lake, etc. etc.
  19. We used to have a rule in the Southeast forum when I lived down there: Take the model with the least amount of snow, and then divide the accumulation it shows by the number of days until the event, and set your expectations accordingly. Looks like even using that method on Friday/Saturday would've still overestimated accumulations for most of us this time. But it's a rule I'm sticking to moving forward. Okay, I'm lying. Way too much of a weenie for that.
  20. Almost unbelievable. I just saved this down for future reference, and I still can't get over it.
  21. Don't shoot me, but the... NAM... looks a bit... better...
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