StormyClearweather

1.32" on the day; 1.33" total between yesterday and today. I'm counting every drop, dammit.

LWX Disco (the part we care about): THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY OR WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER, TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE DAY. THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION (RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW) WILL BE ALONG AND WEST OF THE ALLEGHENY FRONT, BUT SOME LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS MAY SPILL TO THE EAST. UNCERTAINTY INCREASES THEREAFTER AS A DEEP TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER THE EASTERN US. IF THIS TROUGH WERE TO PHASE WITH A SOUTHERN STREAM WAVE, LOW PRESSURE COULD DEVELOP ALONG THE COAST ON THURSDAY. AS TEMPERATURES DROP BEHIND THE FRONT, ANY PRECIPITATION THAT DOES OCCUR COULD BE WINTRY IN PARTS OF THE AREA. THE GFS HAS SHOWN THIS SCENARIO FOR A FEW RUNS, BUT AS OF NOW IS NOT SUPPORTED BY OTHER GUIDANCE OR EVEN MOST OF ITS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS. JUST A PERIOD TO PAY ATTENTION TO FOR NOW.

I mean I guess I’ll settle for 2 10” storms instead of one 12”, if I must. Separately, isn’t the JMA a joke? Serious Q.

I'm sticking with the RRFSOPQXYZ

Okay it's one op run at the very end of its range, with no real agreement with its ensembles... but since it shows this, it'll probably come true.

1.43" for the day - 11.85" for the month. Am sure those to my east in Fx county and around Potomac, MD have far crazier day/month totals.

Wild how the same areas keep getting hit (and not hit) over and over again. I was in the "not hit" camp in June, and know I will be again. But for today, 2.91" between late last night's/this afternoon's storms, and 9.85" for the month. Feeling pretty good about hitting 10" for the month, which is pretty surprising based on how summers have gone since moving here in 2021.

Storms woke me up last night, but sure didn't expect over 2" of rain when I woke up. Actually though it might be an error, but other stations nearby are 1.5"-2.5". That puts me at 9.85" for July. And what is up that with DP?

Yeah, but this is better than last summer's hell of drought and awful heat, even if the humidity is a little higher.

A surprise and quick 1.26", and a temp drop from 90 to 73. For July, at 5.30" for MBY. DP supposedly hit 79.6 at one point in the early part of the storm.

Rain gauge is at 2.30 and counting. Wildly heavy downpours, but slacking up a little now. https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KVASTERL168

Sigh. https://bsky.app/profile/nycsouthpaw.bsky.social/post/3lt7r2mjlrc25

I wouldn't complain...

From LWX: NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/ DANGEROUSLY HOT TODAY. 5980M HEIGHT OF 500M AT IAD FROM MORNING SOUNDING APPEARING TO BREAK DAILY RECORD AND IS TIED FOR THIRD HIGHEST 12Z VALUE ON RECORD FOR ALL DATES. NOTHING MAJOR CHANGED TO FORECAST TODAY. PREVIOUSLY DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...

The triple threat warning(s).

Wild - I'm barely east of you and managed .54

Damn, that's crazy. So close, yet so far away for me. But I'm not complaining!

Woot woot. It's the second run in a row with a tropical system in this range. I'm sure it'll be rock solid for the next 30+ runs.

.89 on the day + 8.69" for the month. Fun day!

Quite a signature https://ibb.co/V09SmPcy

This seems reasonable.

Seems to be initializing poorly, so wonder how that bodes for this evening. If anything, feels like it could over-perform.

Downright depressing for some, but glad others cashed in. From CWG. .6 IMBY.

Beautiful evening yesterday.

I don't hate this look. 3K NAM has it pushing through a couple of hours later.