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snowman19

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Everything posted by snowman19

  1. snowman19
    Wow….
  2. snowman19
    Incorrect
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  7. snowman19
    This Nino is already very well coupled to the atmosphere as can be seen with the very strong STJ response. It’s really going to be bombs away this fall and winter with the El Nino/+PMM juicing the STJ, it’s going to be on steroids, something we haven’t seen in a long time
  8. snowman19
    The +2.1C OHC is extremely impressive. In the last 46 years only this year and 1997 accomplished that this early
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  10. snowman19
    Yea, the only year with an OHC this warm, this early is 1997. And we have yet another WWB waiting in the wings for May courtesy of the MJO propagation back to the PAC and a protected parade of TC’s….
  11. snowman19
    ^”The RONI.. newer “relative” index - which takes our warmed climate into account - is like +2.7 which would be close to a record (if averaged over 3 months). The current record is +2.5°C in 1982-83.”
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  14. snowman19
    Well we survived the 82-83, 97-98 and 15-16 super Ninos. I think we’ll make it through this one too….
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  17. snowman19
    The models are starting to go bonkers with multiple TC’s developing in the PAC over the next week…..
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  20. snowman19
    Yet the very strong WWBs, DWKW’s, TC’s and very impressive, rapid subsurface and surface (especially in region 1+2) warming continues unabated
  21. snowman19
    In fairness to Webb, Paul Roundy said yesterday that this upcoming downwelling Kelvin wave is the strongest in history
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  23. snowman19
    +6C subsurface anomalies showing up now
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