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snowman19

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Everything posted by snowman19

  1. If we actually go La Niña/-PDO this spring, summer, fall....hello SE ridge on roids and epic blowtorch. I really hope not
  2. It’s farting into the wind looking for snow threats at this point; 97-98, 01-02, 11-12, this one is determined to make its mark in history.....
  3. Don’t let it get you down, December is just a little over 10 months away....
  4. Yea, the warmup looks to start on 3/3 and possibly get very mild thereafter. So much for that theory about Dennis causing a long lasting full scale pattern flip....
  5. Don, the models are showing the strongest SPV ever on record for March. If correct, wow. And it seems the CFS is continuing its correction warmer for next month as we get within a week to March
  6. Here is the new CPC outlook for 2/29 - 3/6:
  7. How’s Thursday’s snowstorm looking?
  8. This is how many long range “snowstorms” now since late November that we’re going to track?
  9. This says it all right here, the GFS fantasy “blizzard” is a cutter on the EPS. New EPS through 3/7:
  10. Not the severely cold-biased GFS?! I can’t believe it!!!
  11. Yep, full latitude trough dumps into the west by 3/6. All she wrote...
  12. Sure does, zippo for snow over the next 10 days, no cold air, horrible setup for Thursday, another rainstorm. The beat goes on....
  13. The SPV is forecasted to continue to roar right into March, Kiss of Death.....
  14. Liquid all the way up to Plattsburgh on the GFS, which has a severe cold/east bias at this range. The models are like a pendulum for next week.....swinging back and forth between rain and rain.....
  15. Did you look at the soundings? The boundary layer is junk
  16. Yep. The airmass sucks. Among other big issues. This is a rain event again
  17. Yep, yet another all rain event coming up next week. Another horrible setup all around, zero blocking with a total junk airmass
  18. Just an incredibly positive AO/NAO. You aren’t sustaining sustaining any cold with that garbage over the arctic and North Atlantic. And as Forky pointed out, SE Ridge city coming up. This “winter” is destined go down with the biggest clunkers of the last 25 years; 97-98, 01-02, 11-12.....
  19. SE ridge city. Those SSTAs are blazing. Can you say positive feedback loop? I have a bad feeling this spring/summer/fall is going to torch big time
  20. Yep, it’s short lived and the models once again overdue the -EPO/+PNA in the long range, PAC jet rages back. Agreed about the -PDO
  21. Snow prospects look next to nil through 2/29. The overnight ensembles lend more credence to the first week of March cold shot being only transient. That progression would lead to a very quick mild up after a brief cold shot. It may get very mild by mid-month....
  22. Will you when the very cold and snowy March fails?
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