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snowman19

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Everything posted by snowman19

  1. snowman19
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  7. snowman19
    @StormchaserChuck1 Here comes the -SOI….
  8. snowman19
    Ok Patrick Star lmfaooooo
  9. snowman19
    This is indicative of a very well coupled (ocean-atmosphere) El Niño and Bjerknes feedback taking control:
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  11. snowman19
    We are about to leave 1997 in the dust…
  12. snowman19
    From DT: **ALERT ** SUPER EL NINO LIKELY JULY 2026- MARCH 2027 COULD be strongest EVER !
  13. snowman19
    Wow….
  14. snowman19
    You remind me of Patrick Star from SpongeBob SquarePants
  15. snowman19
    Verbatim, showing a very strong +IOD developing, along with a continued ++PMM…
  16. snowman19
    This is starting to look like the “perfect storm” for causing a Bjerknes feedback loop/coupling to develop, which would cause this El Niño to become self-sustaining and self-reinforcing. We have the current record WWB/DWKW, coupled with the projected high amp, strong MJO wave propagating into the Pacific also supporting westerlies in the ENSO regions, a very strong +PMM, a developing +IOD and the “triplet” TC’s/typhoons in the PAC (causing another massive WWB/DWKW behind them)….
  17. snowman19
    For the first time in a long time, a high amp, strong MJO wave is projected to move into phases 7 and 8 come mid-month
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  19. snowman19
    The “triplet” TC’s on both sides of the hemisphere is happening. They are starting to form. This is going to spark off yet another massive WWB and DWKW. The models are also doubling down on westerlies taking over in the ENSO regions later on this month. This is already starting to look like it’s going to be a record-breaking tropical storm/typhoon season in the PAC….
  20. snowman19
    IMO this is going to be a high-end strong El Niño at minimum with the chances of a super event growing very quickly
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    If these projections for the next few weeks are correct, we are going to see westerlies in the ENSO regions take over and “couple” (ocean-atmosphere) with Bjerknes feedback getting established
  23. snowman19
    This is huge and it’s going to cause another massive WWB and very likely start “Bjerknes feedback”:
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  25. snowman19
    Andy says the MJO enhance isn’t even necessary in this case given the other factors “And if you want to see a substantial MJO event to predict a strong Niño (even though it's not necessary)”
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