snowman19
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Everything posted by snowman19
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48 degrees in Sloatsburg, heavy rain showers mixed with some hail. Extremely unstable/convective right now, cumulus congestus and towering cumulus all over with breaks of sun
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The projected Niña strengthening being forecasted by the models looks credible given the atmospheric and oceanic states. It’s starting to look it a very real possibility that we see a La Niña for the 3rd winter in a row
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Nothing is guaranteed in weather obviously but I see some good signs that this April won’t be like those years and could actually turn out warmer and drier than normal
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There are some signs that April may end up being a lot warmer than some people think right now. I don’t think it ends up anything like last April. I also think we start torching in May
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You didn’t read a thing I said, I said the LENGTH!!!!! Either you didn’t read or you need Pearl Vision
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The Euro now has a torch (70F+) day late next week on the new run. So much for that sustained arctic cold into April. This is probably the beginning of the Euro backing off on the length of the cold shot as we draw closer in time
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@bluewaveHad completely different official numbers for NYC yesterday
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Again……NYC proper, AFTER the EQUINOX (3/20), in the 22 years since 2000, go back and look for yourself
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Since January, 2000, after the equinox, NYC has yet a see a significant or even minor snowstorm. That is very telling
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You repeat the same thing about Sloatsburg over and over. Please get a new routine
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The great thing is that no matter what falls, if it even happens, will be gone in less than 12 hours
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Agreed, if we actually do go into a true -AMO along with the -PDO, I wonder if we may see a drop in temps (probably will be very little) or the warming may stop for awhile? But it would be interesting to see what the result is on global temps
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Sadly, yes. I have a bad feeling we are going to see a Bermuda High on roids from May - September
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The Atlantic is definitely starting to take on a -AMO look….wonder if this is the beginning of another long term -AMO cycle. If so, we may be seeing a lot more +NAO in the years to come, a la the 1980’s….
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I really admire your spirit. Mid-Atlantic, post-spring Equinox and you’re still hyping 7-10 day “snow” threats….that’s commitment lol
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Yea, that would have definitely been a textbook, honking KU snowstorm signal for sure a month ago….too little, too late now…there’s always next winter….
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Let’s hope the EPS is too aggressive with the blocking just as it was all winter, there was a time when the EPS was showing early to mid-March to be in the freezer. This is the 2nd year in a row that I had to turn my A/C on in March. Needed it in the afternoon both days last week. The only other time I can remember needing A/C in March before last year was 2012….
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“Cold” in late March is way, way different than actual cold in Dec, Jan, Feb. Post equinox and we now have the equivalent of an August sun overhead. The pattern depicted at the end of the month is a chilly rain pattern in the metro area at best
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Thank God the blocking looks to be very short lived and it warms right back up at the beginning of April
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March 2022 Obs/Disc: In Like a Lamb, Out Like a Butterfly
snowman19 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Winter is over for NYC. See you in 9 months lol -
67 degrees at 6:30pm in Sloatsburg…the long range op Euro/EPS showed a freezer for right now at the beginning of March….
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The Euro at day 10 lol Who wants to bet that actual reality 10 days from now is nothing even close to that? How many times have we done this so far? We were supposed to be in a deep arctic freeze right now according to the Euro at the end of February/beginning of March, remember all the hype? Reality….I’m in short sleeves and shorts today…same story for yesterday….
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Finally found someone worse than Joe Bastardi. This guy is hyping the last week of the month as a snow and cold pattern for Baltimore and DC. Don’t know what alternative universe he’s living in but the pattern looks awful for snow even in New England at the end of the month. This guy is a total
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The ‘15-‘16 Super El Nino was so epic it punched its way up into the stratosphere and changed the normal QBO progression. When I saw Nino region 3.4 hit +3.1C at the end of November, 2015, I knew the effects were going to be very, very huge and long-lasting….
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Feels like May right now. 72 degrees here (Sloatsburg) at 6pm, sun’s still out…..
