snowman19
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Everything posted by snowman19
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As much as I get accused of my “warm bias”, I wonder how long it’s going to be before the usual suspects on here start hype posting in the March thread about how great and epic the ‘snow and cold pattern’ looks on certain hand picked models for the last week of this month lol….I can think of the names and the model runs they will post right now….there’s a few lol
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@bluewave. @donsutherland1
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@bluewave @donsutherland1 Possibly heading into a rare 3rd year La Niña?
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March 2022 Obs/Disc: In Like a Lamb, Out Like a Butterfly
snowman19 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
You need to move to Point Barrow, AK -
The peepers are out already, which is pretty early for them, they usually start the tail end of the month or the beginning of April. Heard them last night, a sure sign winter is done….
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Yea, no, no one got more than a dusting/coating from it
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Over now, a dusting
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There is so much rock salt on the roads in my area it looks like it snowed lol
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Flash freezes are extremely and I mean extremely rare, very specific parameters have to be met for one to happen and even then. @SnoSki14 has predicted (busted) more flash freezes on here in the last 3 years than have actually happened in the entire weather recording history of the NYC metro
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Happy Daylight Savings Time everyone!
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Not going to lie, I was dying laughing all day today. I was tempted to troll the “Euro!!” posts on here from yesterday but I decided to be nice lol The wishcasting of this nothing burger, non event in this thread was comical lol
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I tried warning people yesterday against using the Euro and the NAM, they made no sense given the setup but they chose to wishcast. The RGEM wins. How many times do ananfront snows actually work out here, in mid-March no less? I just got an inch and a half total snow. Especially when you have an arctic boundary cross the area, with NW flow behind it….the lee side downsloping dries everything right out like what we just saw with what fell apart from Pennsylvania….
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Storm is over up here in Sloatsburg, sun breaking out, snow ended a half hour ago, prob got an inch and a half, total, roads are black. I’m outside in short sleeves right now doing an Irish square dance
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The RGEM will be the closet to reality IMO. Think of how many times rain to snow/anafront type scenarios actually workout here….especially during the day in mid-March, with all the obstacles that come along with that. I think we are also going to see downsloping issues with the NW flow drying things out after the arctic boundary passes
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Yea, you’re not seeing that much snow…
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NYC will be lucky to see half of an inch total tomorrow, most likely a coating/dusting tomorrow afternoon
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Funny how you’re spiking the football already, 24 hours out, it’s going to be funny tomorrow when you get less than an inch to total in NYC lol Watch the models back way off at 0Z tonight. The RGEM and CMC are the closest to reality IMO
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The new GFS looks like the NAM and RGEM. The ICON is similar for the metro area as well. We seem to be closing in on consensus: https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=sn10_acc&rh=2022031018&fh=72&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
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The new NAM https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=snku_acc&rh=2022031018&fh=78&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
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All of the models look like the Euro and NAM? You are so vapid….
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You turn every L on the map from October until April into an NYC snowstorm, take a seat. And enjoy tomorrow’s NW trend ;-)
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Gulf origin storm, amps, no NAO/AO blocking, no 50/50, thunderstorms blowing up in the SE, this is going to correct northwest. The models are underestimating the SE ridge right now
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And the op Euro would be all on its own…sell
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Looks like extended warmth kicks in starting Monday
