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snowman19

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Everything posted by snowman19

  1. 36 and still light white rain in Sloatsburg. Hasn’t even accumulated on grassy surfaces or cars. Should be ending soon
  2. Yep, had it not been for that, March would have not been anything at all like it was
  3. All I know is, we have been hearing about great patterns that are going to produce a lot of snow and cold here for 3 months now. The hype started in mid-November, some even hyping “historic” patterns, here we sit less than 8 days away from the beginning of February with absolutely nothing whatsoever to show for it. At some point this winter has to put up or shut up. We have been kicking the can down the road and moving the goal posts forward in time for too long now. To expect some miracle pattern to just suddenly develop in February is unrealistic IMO. The clock is ticking, in 8 days, just 1 month left of met winter
  4. It’s always cold, snowy and a great pattern at 240+ hours. Been a reoccurring theme since the middle of November
  5. Yep an honestly pathetic performance from all 3 models. Win for the RGEM/CMC
  6. The NAM and Euro were a fail for today. Overdone
  7. 36 in Sloatsburg, white rain
  8. ICON cut back too. I’d be surprised if the Euro doesn’t next
  9. The Ukie looks like the RGEM/CMC now and the GFS cut back
  10. Not saying they’re right but the RGEM and CMC have been consistent for days now that it’s a non event. They haven’t budged. Pretty crazy differences for this close to the event
  11. The differences between the NAM and RGEM for Wednesday are laughable
  12. Sleet and graupel in Sloatsburg
  13. I was 3 years old for that one lol
  14. The HRRR has the changeover, it’s just not as enthused as the RAP https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=snku_acc-imp&rh=2023012312&fh=48&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
  15. Rapid midlevel cooling north and west of the city right now
  16. The Euro has that same storm too but it’s all rain even into Canada
  17. Always 240+ hours away the winter of digital snow lol [emoji23]
  18. The RGEM/CMC suite want absolutely nothing at all to do with Wednesday, they have a total non event run after run. Either it’s going to score a coupe or it’s going down in flames
  19. Cherish whatever we get on Wednesday. The Euro has nothing but rainstorms the rest of this month into the beginning of February
  20. If the CMC and RGEM are correct and the precip holds off until the midlevels start torching, this will be a brief non accumulating snow/sleet onset then very quickly over to all rain. The way this winter has gone, I don’t think any of us would be surprised if that’s actually the outcome
  21. The differences between the GFS and CMC are laughable for a little over 2 days out. CMC has a non event and the GFS has a plowable snow from Westchester/Rockland/Bergen on north. One is going to be dead wrong
  22. If the SPV restrengthens in mid-late February my cold/possibly snowy March idea is going to go down in flames
  23. Also, want to add, this is where the +NAO and lack of a 50/50 low is killing us. If there was a -NAO block, even a transient thumb ridge to lock a 50/50 in and create confluence to hold the high to the north, this probably would have been an area wide WSW event, even with this marginal airmass in place. An arctic high obviously would had been ideal but if there was a -NAO and 50/50, this event would have been way different
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