snowman19

It might propagate out into the Pacific in early March? I don’t know, I’m starting to think March isn’t going to be all that good. If the SPV restrengthens mid-late February, I think it’s over

Agree with you. If we don’t score in the first week of February, we are probably done until March, maybe. Not having the SSW may have screwed March. I think the pattern goes to hell after 2/7

I’m simply stating what has been going on the last 3 months

Euro with the cut back for Wednesday. It just doesn’t want to snow here this winter

Let’s see what it looks like at 0z tomorrow

Ukie…total whiff https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ukmet&p=sn10_acc-imp&rh=2023012400&fh=84&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

The GFS is still caving it’s almost as bad as the NAM. This is what it’s showing now and the cave still isn’t done: https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=snodpc_acc-imp&rh=2023012400&fh=84&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

And the inevitable back off from the GFS and ICON at 18z, seems to be another win for the RGEM/CMC suite incoming

Yep, it looks like brief, non accumulating snow/sleet then right over to rain

This has I-84 north event written all over it

36 and still light white rain in Sloatsburg. Hasn’t even accumulated on grassy surfaces or cars. Should be ending soon

Yep, had it not been for that, March would have not been anything at all like it was

All I know is, we have been hearing about great patterns that are going to produce a lot of snow and cold here for 3 months now. The hype started in mid-November, some even hyping “historic” patterns, here we sit less than 8 days away from the beginning of February with absolutely nothing whatsoever to show for it. At some point this winter has to put up or shut up. We have been kicking the can down the road and moving the goal posts forward in time for too long now. To expect some miracle pattern to just suddenly develop in February is unrealistic IMO. The clock is ticking, in 8 days, just 1 month left of met winter

It’s always cold, snowy and a great pattern at 240+ hours. Been a reoccurring theme since the middle of November

Yep an honestly pathetic performance from all 3 models. Win for the RGEM/CMC

So was the GFS

The NAM and Euro were a fail for today. Overdone

36 in Sloatsburg, white rain

ICON cut back too. I’d be surprised if the Euro doesn’t next

The Ukie looks like the RGEM/CMC now and the GFS cut back

Not saying they’re right but the RGEM and CMC have been consistent for days now that it’s a non event. They haven’t budged. Pretty crazy differences for this close to the event

The differences between the NAM and RGEM for Wednesday are laughable

Sleet and graupel in Sloatsburg

I was 3 years old for that one lol