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snowman19

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Everything posted by snowman19

  1. snowman19
    It’s going to hit. Look at the t-storms blowing up in the SE, it’s going to pump the ridge and force it north
  2. snowman19
    The models underestimated the SE Ridge, now they are correcting north. Sunday is going to be another snowstorm. If there are thunderstorms blowing up in the SE on Saturday into Sunday, the latent and sensible heat release aloft is going to pump the ridge up even more
  3. snowman19
    You can absolutely have a strong SE ridge along with a -NAO and -AO. It’s totally false, total bunk that a SE Ridge can’t co-exist along with a -NAO and -AO. It’s a fairy tale wishcast that the weenies spread on twitter, they need to start it with “Once upon a time, it’s impossible to have a SE Ridge and a -NAO”
  4. snowman19
    Ask the new Euro ROTFLMFAOOO
  5. snowman19
    The Ukie has been God awful this winter, terrible. It is now a huge outlier
  6. snowman19
    Famous last words ;-)
  7. snowman19
    Yea, I knew it was at least 27 inches in Sloatsburg around 10 last night and it was still going at that point. I can definitely believe 30 inches fell here
  8. snowman19
    I’m in Sloatsburg, it’s easily 2 feet here, probably over 2 feet
  9. snowman19
    Easily 2 feet + up here, still light snow, some sleet mixing in now. By far the biggest event since January, 2016. Well over 24 hours of steady snow
  10. snowman19
    They throw them out every storm, January, 1996 too. I made that comment yesterday morning, it looked nothing at all like it does right now yesterday morning
  11. snowman19
    That is approaching January, 2016, February, 2006 territory right there. Hard to believe....
  12. snowman19
    If that’s correct, I feel bad for the guys who plow snow. It’s literally impossible to keep up with that, totally impossible. Hopefully people are smart and stay the hell off the roads so they don’t get stuck and add to the chaos that will be ensuing
  13. snowman19
    If the NAM is correct, there is going to be a ridiculous frontogen band over northern NJ into SE NY tomorrow into tomorrow night. Easily 18”+ I haven’t seen a depiction like that since January, 2016. It looks even more impressive than the March, 2018 blizzard verbatim
  14. snowman19
    If anyone is really expecting the biggest NYC snowstorm ever in history (over 27 inches - January, 2016) this week, they’re probably going to be very sorely disappointed
  15. snowman19
    I think this corrects even further south tonight. The models were too far west and north at 0Z IMO, we just saw the correction from the NAM, I think this continues
  16. snowman19
    This is why the NAM is going bye bye in March. The NWS is retiring it and for good reason
  17. snowman19
    There is a good snowstorm coming for NYC, no doubt. Twitter is ridiculous though, I’m seeing people comparing this storm to February, 2006, January, 2016, December, 2010, February, 2010, January, 1996. Ludicrous comparisons, completely different setups, totally. Some people go with the most historic snowstorms ever in NYC every time a storm is coming and say they are great analogs and identical setups and run with it for hype and clickbait. It’s like everytime there’s a storm off the east coast, those historic storms become “great analogs” and “identical setups” to some, every winter.....
  18. snowman19
    This is looking more and more like a NYC and south snowstorm. The op Euro/EPS is deadly in this time frame and has been very consistent since 12z yesterday, we’ll see what it does at 12z today, but it’s definitely not encouraging for the northern/northwest suburbs. NYC is the place to be for this one, I can see a very sharp cutoff to next to nothing north of the city, IMO
  19. snowman19
    It was good for NYC, cutoff on snow north and west. Not everyone in this forum lives in NYC
  20. snowman19
    For NYC maybe, areas to the north and west don’t look good. But look at the new ICON, GFS, and even the NAM at the end of its run, they are all going south now like the Euro/EPS. The 12z Ukie was the start of the trend
  21. snowman19
    The EPS looks the same. Agrees with the Euro operational
  22. snowman19
    Similar trolls lol regardless, I don’t have anything personal against anyone on here. I love weather. Do I lean warm...Yes, absolutely, but why shouldn’t I in this new climate? It’s whatever lol I enjoy talking about weather as you know, just a shame that you get trolled and attacked on here by the usual suspects when your narrative isn’t consistently “cold and snowy for the east coast” When I get trolled I respond lol
  23. snowman19
    https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf-ens&region=namer&pkg=z500a&runtime=2021012800&fh=240
  24. snowman19
    EPS disagrees and pumps the SE ridge big time
  25. snowman19
    That was funny lmfaooo
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