Jump to content

EastonSN+

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    7,917

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    Stole from MA forum. Agrees with the GEFS.
  2. EastonSN+
    FWIW NAM was a tick colder at 12z than 6z. My RGEM has not yet loaded to no idea on if the RGEM was colder or warmer than 6z.
  3. EastonSN+
    We need a storm to loop SE of LI like 78/1888 lol So rare to get that done. Of course 1996/2006/2010/2013 were bulls eyes. However it seems like the SE of LI loop track is extremely rare.
  4. EastonSN+
    Yup. Also forgot to through in 17/18 and 20/21 which were amazing for WCT.
  5. EastonSN+
    Thanks as always Don. It will be interesting to see how March affects this year's rankings. We will have a large warmup around the 5th while the 10th onwards looks below average (duration up in the air). Going to be a nail biter.
  6. EastonSN+
    No we have had a lot of good setups. I think the perception changed with the 14/15 season where the eastern areas started raking while we got a good amounts but less (i.e. 7 inches January 2015 while eastern areas had feet plus). We did great 2000 through 2014.
  7. EastonSN+
    Still on track for our cold/potentially snowy period starting approx 3.10 1. There will be a big warm up around the 5th where the SE Ridge links with the NAO. 2. The RNA rises and the AO falls for approx the 10th. The ensembles are in agreement. Big question on the duration. Warmup Window
  8. EastonSN+
    I see what he is saying though. 00 through 2012 it almost never snowed in March while it snowed in December a lot. Conversely, 2013 through now March has been snowier than December. Side note - the former had wayyy warmer springs while the latter has had wayyy warmer Falls.
  9. EastonSN+
    Also love how the NAM went a little colder too.
  10. EastonSN+
    We have to hold tight to the 2020/2021 memories neighbor.
  11. EastonSN+
    Ha I am picturing this
  12. EastonSN+
    Why don't you keep heading North Of The Pike until we don't hear from you anymore.
  13. EastonSN+
    It's horrifying. Since early December.
  14. EastonSN+
    At some point I would like to get ONE storm to hit SW CT. STILL sitting at 1.5 inches for the year.
  15. EastonSN+
    I am still thinking our time will come around the 10th and after.
  16. EastonSN+
    The March 4th storm came in rainy.
  17. EastonSN+
    Here it is
  18. EastonSN+
    CFS is now picking up on our window.
  19. EastonSN+
    I like it. Keep showing snow on Long island as a buffer for CT!
  20. EastonSN+
    True you never know, however I have seen this la Nina March snowfall movie play out a few times before. So I have more faith than January or February.
  21. EastonSN+
    The lastest 3.04 scenario on the models was expected given the trough has not lessened in the west as of yet. Our window starts 3.10. CAN we thread the needle before then? Sure, however temps will be an issue and the SER can connect to the NAO causing "cutters" or "runners". That being said, I think we have serious potential starting 3.10.
  22. EastonSN+
    Bump
  23. EastonSN+
    I mean yeah, anytime you have intense NAO flexing at the same time as an extremely intense RNA you are going to have the risk of an intense storm. However I stand by the thoughts r/r/t the fact that if either were a little off, this entire winter has a different feel.
  24. EastonSN+
    Agreed. Also if that second wave was a little weaker in December instead of historically intense, the 3rd wave had a chance to give us a real good event. We were due to strike out in a decent pattern with the way the 2000s have worked in our favor.
  25. EastonSN+
    To summarize, watch the WC trough as it is running the show. It touches BAJA and you connect the SER to the NAO. Until it rises I would be skeptical of a pattern change on the op. model runs.
×
×
  • Create New...