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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    TWC gone wild. APP has 4 to 8 here in SW CT!
  2. EastonSN+
    Yeah it's more of the same like this Friday, and yes likely light to moderate across the forum. For me it's about tow things. 1.) Kids play in the snow which this is not great for and 2.) I want to be able to continue to say "only 6 below average snowfall seasons this century". Therefore for me get me enough snow any way I can get it to get me to my 30 to 35 area range. Need 11.5.
  3. EastonSN+
    March is bowling ball season. Would not take much to paste us as well (a bit south and deepen quicker).
  4. EastonSN+
    In SW CT we have only experienced 6 below average snowfalls this century! No complaints about snowfall. We sit back and are neutral like Switzerland without the mountains.
  5. EastonSN+
    Does anyone have the EURO one?
  6. EastonSN+
    Do u have a Kutchera
  7. EastonSN+
    Looking at this again interesting to se an RNA AND the PV NE of us.
  8. EastonSN+
    Still on track for phase 7 on or about the 15th.
  9. EastonSN+
    Temps same timeframe. One good thing about this look is although it's definitely a "cutter" look similar to the storm coming this Friday, in the look below there would be a deeper cold layer in advance of the storm. Most likely a few 1 to 3 2 to 4 then mix rain scenarios.
  10. EastonSN+
    Don't know if I have ever seen this before. Perhaps it's due to a model spread.
  11. EastonSN+
    SE ridge keeps getting stronger on GEFS and GEPS. Being south CT not too happy bout that.
  12. EastonSN+
  13. EastonSN+
    What NWS thinks early on for us south CT people
  14. EastonSN+
    That stinks. I mean these types of systems typically move north over time. Still sticking with 1 to 3 LI to 84.
  15. EastonSN+
    Anyone have 6z Euro?
  16. EastonSN+
    I think there was a storm in the early 90s with that setup. Front came south and juiced up to a 7 inch accumulation. Have not seen it since.
  17. EastonSN+
    Here is the middle ground and in all honesty best case scenario (south enough to hinder SE ridge, north enough to mitigate suppression).
  18. EastonSN+
    GEPS gets it pretty darn far.
  19. EastonSN+
    Kind of playing with fire with the SE Ridge there. GEPS completely obliterates the SE ridge to mid Florida. GEFS is the middle ground with the SE ridge just south of DC.
  20. EastonSN+
    That can be an extremely volatile setup. If the SE ridge is a little east then watch out.
  21. EastonSN+
    I think the larger issue is the preceding air mass. If we had an entrenched deep cold layer in advance we would easily get 3 to 6 before the changeover. In this case the cold barely gets in (and not that far south) before the storm arrives. Still a chance of 1 to 3 LI to 84. However, at this moment in time it could be less. Only time will tell.
  22. EastonSN+
    Will be interesting to see if this wave makes it to phase 7 by the 15th.
  23. EastonSN+
    I do not know if I have ever witnessed a setup like what is being shown. RNA ++AO and NAO with a monster -EPO keeping the SE ridge well south of us. Is the EPO extending so much that it's causing blocking in the AO domain (bootleg)?
  24. EastonSN+
    Not expecting more than 1 to 3 LI to 84. HOWEVER, November 2018 NAM and HRRR were showing 6 to 8 before the changeover during that Months SWFE even though all the globals had C to 2. Obviously that's an outlier, however shows that you are correct in it's important to keep an eye on the mesos to catch any surprises. Same positive surprise happened during the March 2011 SWFE.
  25. EastonSN+
    Here we go. GEFS and GEPS with a monster negative EPO.
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