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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    Dynamic cooling. If the precip comes down heavy enough you WILL snow.
  2. EastonSN+
    Lol the EURO does the 1888 low pressure loop.
  3. EastonSN+
    Track is near perfect. Forget the thermals, with the precip rates this is a lot of heavy wet snow (no not white rain if you are under the banding).
  4. EastonSN+
    It's plenty cold enough if the precip is heavy enough
  5. EastonSN+
    Yeah it's all or nothing. At least we have something to track. Fear that this may come way west.
  6. EastonSN+
    GEFS are further south from 6z. Suppression for CPK a potential.
  7. EastonSN+
    I still do I snow till April!
  8. EastonSN+
    The snow band looks like it's setting up generally in the same area as the last storm a couple days ago. This has more juice.
  9. EastonSN+
    Talk about temp shock YOY.
  10. EastonSN+
    I must add, closer to the coast CAN still be snow for the CP if the storm is bombing.
  11. EastonSN+
    IF. IF this is the result it WILL snow in almost all of this forum. I will warn that there is a lean west on the individuals.
  12. EastonSN+
    Hopefully we can trim away the lows running over Long Island.
  13. EastonSN+
    Yup intensity and track. The problem this year has been a strongly coupled La Nina. RECORD troughing off the west coast and a dominant northern stream (again la Nina) has limited the air mass considerably on the east coast. The sad part, this setup would have absolutely buried us in almost all other setups (any setup other than strong la Nina and El Nino (97/98) conditions. If this setup happened last March CPK would have EASILY breached 10 inches. Timing is everything.
  14. EastonSN+
    It's simple for your area, if the storm is off the coast and the precip is intense enough you WILL snow.
  15. EastonSN+
    Total for GFS.
  16. EastonSN+
    Looks like the models are trying to fill in New Jersey like a coloring book.
  17. EastonSN+
    End of run 3rd wave.
  18. EastonSN+
    Wave 1
  19. EastonSN+
    GEFS is back on the wave 1 train and has it more intense now. Suppression/intensity looking like it's going to be more of a concern at this point over a tucked solution.
  20. EastonSN+
    Third wave on the GFS
  21. EastonSN+
    Third wave squished on the GEM
  22. EastonSN+
    What's funny is the snow totals align with Dons stats for this type of season lol.
  23. EastonSN+
    GFS storm 1
  24. EastonSN+
    CMC storm 1
  25. EastonSN+
    Yup. First storm I had 3.5 second storm 8.
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