If people are going to make predictions about future model runs, can they provide some reasoning or evidence to back it up? For less-knowledgeable folks like me, it comes across as just being a weenie in a Storm Mode thread. We all hope the confluence is overdone and we all hope the precip shield is underdone, etc, but to predict that it has 'peaked' this run or will subside in future runs without providing any reasoning or evidence whatsoever is confusing to read alongside solid analysis by others. Just my $0.02.