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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. Blizzard of 93
    Ensembles still say that we have a chance. Here are the 0z Canadian ensemble & 6z EPS. The Canadian ensemble on WB only has 24 hr, so there might be a little more snow outside this window. The Euro products have 24, 48 & 72 hour windows available.
  2. Blizzard of 93
    6z Euro offered some hope for a light to moderate snow chance on Sunday.
  3. Blizzard of 93
    I agree that the models still have a lot to sort out. The 84 hr. NAM that you mentioned also looks completely different the the 84 hr RGEM. We need to give this another day or two to watch the trends.
  4. Blizzard of 93
    Unfortunately most models went the wrong way at 0z for the Sunday chance. The 6z AI Euro still offers some hope for a moderate event chance.
  5. Blizzard of 93
  6. Blizzard of 93
    Ensembles are still the best tool that we have at this range. The 18z EPS, 18z AI EPS & 12z Canadian ensemble all point to the chance of a moderate snow potential on Sunday. Details TBD
  7. Blizzard of 93
    6z AI EPS looks good for Sunday into Monday & the 6z Regular EPS at the end of its 6 day run improved as well
  8. Blizzard of 93
    This Sunday chance is gaining momentum for snow potential across most models. 6z GFS, 0z Canadian & 6z AI Euro
  9. Blizzard of 93
    @brooklynwx99 posted this in another thread earlier this evening. “this speaks for itself... AIFS-ENS is very similar to Feb 21. not advertising impacts like that, obviously, but it's becoming clear that this setup holds high end potential. we'll see how things trend in the coming days, but man that is uncanny”
  10. Blizzard of 93
    18z EPS & 18z AI EPS look great as well for the Sunday chance. Lots of maps are posted in the Mid Atlantic thread for your viewing pleasure.
  11. Blizzard of 93
    Yes, indeed, hopefully we reel this one in for Sunday.
  12. Blizzard of 93
    I know, but I didn’t believe it, but here we are, lol!
  13. Blizzard of 93
    Lol, this worthless storm is infuriating me to the bitter end… I I don’t think that I have EVER seen a freaking change over happen well to my South east prior to my change over to snow in Marysville. Normally the change over happens first in Altoona, State College, Newport, Marysville, MDT, then Lancaster l, etc… Not tonight!
  14. Blizzard of 93
    18z GFS AI & 18z GEFS AI also have the 23rd chance.
  15. Blizzard of 93
    18z Euro AI has the 23rd chance.
  16. Blizzard of 93
  17. Blizzard of 93
    The window on the 23rd on the 12z EPS has a favorable Miller B look this run that could lead to a potential winter storm chance.
  18. Blizzard of 93
    Here is the 12z EPS 24 hour precip & snow for the 23rd chance.
  19. Blizzard of 93
    The window on the 23rd on the 12z EPS has a favorable Miller B look this run that could lead to a potential winter storm chance.
  20. Blizzard of 93
    Even after whatever table scraps we may get this evening, the 12z Euro & Euro AI say that the pattern through the end of this month looks to be active with a few Winter storm chances.
  21. Blizzard of 93
    12z GFS still is showing 1 to 2 inches of snow tonight for the LSV.
  22. Blizzard of 93
    The “better” runs early yesterday had the LSV getting .4 to .5 of precip that produced 3 to 4 inches of snow on the snow maps. Now, in that same time period, the models are closer to .2 of precip, so that’s only producing around 1 inch or snow or less in recent runs.
  23. Blizzard of 93
    It’s all about precip rates. If we would get good precip, it would snow. Marginal situations require good rates to overcome & snow.
  24. Blizzard of 93
    0z GFS keeps hope alive for tomorrow evening with up to 2 inches for the LSV this run.
  25. Blizzard of 93
    I mean, just look at thIs from @Newman in the Philly thread. Just a tiny difference between 12z and 18z RRFS. Something must've gotten into the NOAA mesoscale products at 12z LOL
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