Blizzard of 93

The latest Euro Weeklies look to have a workable pattern beginning by the week of March 7th to the 14th & then continuing through the end of the month.

The 12z GEFS looks interesting for this period.

Also, the SOI 2 week deep crash has ended over the last couple of days. Sometimes the effects of the SOI lag around 2 weeks. It can also throw the models into fits as well.

Lol, I don’t pack it in until early April. I think we will have at least one more window to track this season.

This chance is still there on the 12z Canadian.

12z Canadian has some light frozen potential for northern CTP on early Friday.

MDT is only 7 inches away from its seasonal median snow total of 25 inches. MDT would need 12 more inches to reach climo seasonal total of 30 inches. Both are within striking distance with 6 realistic weeks to score.

The 0z Canadian shows a west track mixed event out at day 10.

The 0z Euro shows a minor northern stream system next weekend.

Back to searching in the wilderness for Winter weather chances. At this time, the models are showing just rain for this Friday’s storm.

14 was my low in Marysville. The snow cover did its thing here overnight.

We still have 6 more realistic weeks to score snow…. It shall remain gassed & ready! I have already needed to use it 5 times this year…

I’m keeping it gassed up until after Easter this year. Where’s @paweather ? With Easter in late March, we actually could have a realistic chance at Easter snow this year…

The latest Euro Weeklies show the chance of one more potential window starting in mid March through the end of the month.

The latest Euro Weeklies show the chance of one more potential window starting in mid March through the end of the month.

There have been off & on snow showers today with no additional accumulation. Some blowing snow with the occasional snow showers has made today feel quite Wintry.

The roads were covered overnight in Marysville with temps in the low 30s. The sidewalks accumulated snow as well. I needed to use the snowblower this morning to clear the sidewalks & plowed in areas. The 7 inch event in Marysville was my largest of the season. I’m now at 25.5” for the season to date.

I’m just rationalizing & spit balling here about the 2 events this week… MDT hit the local jackpot on Tuesday & recorded 7.7 of snow while many of our yards ended up only near 5 or 6 with the early week event. Last night’s storm will probably go in the books at MDT as 1 inch & change…let’s just say 1.3 for this thought exercise. The combination of these 2 events will total near 9 inches this week at MDT. If these 9 inches with the 2 storms were split into say 6 & 3, I wouldn’t have complained if you had asked me last week if this would be an acceptable outcome. This second event last night just a couple of days ago looked like an Advisory 1 to 3 or 2 to 4 type of event. The upside that some of us cashed in on started showing on modeling on Thursday, but then so did the banding that robbed other places of decent snow. All in all, not a bad week of Winter to me, but it certainly could have been more, but it also could have been less as well.

I’m going with a final total of 7.1 here in Marysville. I’m sure the fluff settled a bit once the rates backed off, but either way, I didn’t get much after that heavy band dissipated. Beautiful Wintry scene in my backyard this morning.

The Warning still verified in many areas. Large snow total variance will probably show from one end of a county to the other with the snow total statements by county that CTP issues.

It’s a shame that this narrow band determined winners & losers in such an extreme way. I would have been happier with a general widespread 3 to 5 for everyone, which is the way it looked on most models until 24 hours out when the 2 band idea started showing up. The MDT total later today will be a shame. They just did not get into the banding & had a low amount of precip. Areas less than 20 miles to their north like me, Jonesy in Linglestown, & AccuChris in Lebanon had over 5 inches. Bizarre storm that will go officially in the record book at MDT as unremarkable, but several of us will remember it otherwise.

This reminds me of what it must be like in a lake effect event with reports of 6 to 12 in various areas of our region, while areas 20 to 30 miles away in different directions only got 1 or 2.

Yes, it was remarkable. I looked out a few times & it was ripping snow in that band. The fluff factor was high. I needed to go out at this late hour to verify what I thought that I was eyeballing. I was pleasantly surprised at the 6.5. I have a decent chance to reach 8 with a couple of hours to go even with the lightened up current rate.

This band near Harrisburg means business. i am up to 6.5 of snow in Marysville with moderate snow ongoing at 1:20 am.

Similar scene here as well. Roads caved in Marysville. Eyeballing roughly 2 inches of fluffy snow.