Let’s see if the Euro bounces back at 18z.
Hopefully just a 1 run hiccup at 12z that still gave the the LSV 6 to 10.
We have the ICON & UKIE with a MECS.
We have 4 days to go & lots on the table.
I understand, but you can’t deny his knowledge.
Sorry I shared the educated opinion of a professional Met with thousands of paid followers & corporate clients all over the world…
Great post & this is far from decided.
Joe Bastardi has a post from this afternoon saying the models that jumping the low out are keying on the wrong boundary. He believes the storm will continue up the coast to deliver a major storm.
His analog blend for this storm are January 96, January 16 & April 1982.
It’s nice that today we actually got a snow front ender than gave many of a sold 1 or 2 inches before the mix.
It makes these type of events more tolerable & it pads the season stats.
12z Euro certainly not showing the top end solution like last night, but it still does manage to get a 6 to 10 inch event to the LSV this run.
Still a way to go, but we are very much in the game for a high end event.
Great post from @psuhoffman
No one posts them (probably because they are almost never as good as the mean maps because these aren’t skewed by outliers) but the mode and prob maps are more important and shifted the jack from SE to right up or even NW of 95.
Mode
6” prob