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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. Blizzard of 93
    I’ve picked up an additional 1.5 of mostly sleet & a little snow with the early afternoon mixing. My Marysville combined total as of 4:30 pm is 9.0” Moderate sleet is still ongoing.
  2. Blizzard of 93
    Latest HRRR says Harrisburg area could flip back to a little snow over the next couple of hours as the mix line sags south a bit.
  3. Blizzard of 93
    But do you or anyone have a link to the correlation coefficient radar?
  4. Blizzard of 93
    Do you have a link to this? I can’t find it on CTP’s page. Any signs of it sagging back south a bit?
  5. Blizzard of 93
    Does anyone know how the “snow depth” measurements work on the regional observations at MDT? The 7 am snow depth showed 3 inches and the 1 pm snow depth said 7 inches. Do they “clear the board” every 6 hours and start fresh? With 1.1 QPF through 1 pm, there should no way MDT only has a depth of 7 at this time right?
  6. Blizzard of 93
    Dare I say… best rate & flake size now in Marysville!
  7. Blizzard of 93
    Lol, you asked me to post it!
  8. Blizzard of 93
    12z Euro
  9. Blizzard of 93
    Back to mostly snow in Marysville!!! Don’t eff with the Euro, lol!
  10. Blizzard of 93
    Do you want the snow map or the frames with precip types?
  11. Blizzard of 93
    For what it’s worth, the 12z Euro didn’t back down and still had predominantly snow from the turnpike on to the north in the LSV this afternoon & evening and stuck to its 12 to 15 total. Not sure what that means, if anything At this point.
  12. Blizzard of 93
    As of 12:30 in Marysville I had 7.5 inches of snow. Sleet unfortunately has mixed in. I cleared my unofficial outdoor snow table, so let’s see what I get the rest of the day with the mixed precip.
  13. Blizzard of 93
    Lol, no it wasn’t me, but we saw the Marysville number & the family applauded.
  14. Blizzard of 93
    MDT is already at .92 precip as of noon with all snow recorded thus far. Mix is imminent, so a couple of inches of sleet are not out of the question with observations to our south. I think @canderson & both went with a little over 12 at MDT. I think we are both still alive in the contest, lol! The guesses above 12 are likely out of it.
  15. Blizzard of 93
    When they mix or change, accumulating sleet will still count. Long way to go
  16. Blizzard of 93
    It’s not over… MDT still is reporting Heavy snow with .25 mile visibility at 11:56 am.
  17. Blizzard of 93
    What do you those radar trends could mean for the Harrisburg area this afternoon?
  18. Blizzard of 93
    MDT has reported Heavy since with every 10 minute Ob with .25 mile visibility or less since 8.15 am. Over 1 inch per hour rates!
  19. Blizzard of 93
    Heavy snow in Marysville 10 degrees
  20. Blizzard of 93
    What are your thoughts on the coastal getting going now? Could it help to delay the mixing later on?
  21. Blizzard of 93
  22. Blizzard of 93
    Good to see much of the DC area still holding on to snow still around 8 am.
  23. Blizzard of 93
    Just shy of 4 inches so far in Marysville. Flake size is increasing.
  24. Blizzard of 93
    Yes, it is likely overdone, but it is never a bad thing to have the Euro on your side. It gives a range of outcomes. The general rule is if a model is on its own, it’s likely wrong, so that is my thinking with the NAM. Every other short range & global model says we get more. The reality will likely be somewhere in between.
  25. Blizzard of 93
    One last look at the Euro at 6z just before game time started overnight. It still crushes the LSV with 13 to 16 and actually improved slightly for York & Lanco over its last run. 6z Euro regional & local view.
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