Blizzard of 93

Great advice from a pro a few minutes ago… @MillvilleWx said: “Everything is going as planned. Accums won't really start for another 3-5 hrs, especially after sunset. Temps will drop to near and below freezing and rates will increase. The ULL formation to our south has not even started yet. Hours to go before the good stuff. Go out, grab a bite, have a drink or two, relax, take a nap, celebrate the USA Gold, then enjoy snow falling later. It'll do what it's going to do. Everyone stay safe, especially our Delmarva brethren.”

I might need to check out for awhile, the emotional roller coaster by some on here is kind of unbearable.

Why? Because of the NAM, lol! Try to let the event play out…

CTP “Expected Snow” map issued at 9:15 which is typically conservative, shows 7 to 9 for Harrisburg, York & Lanco.

The NBM at 12z still matches the CTP Warning.

A few random thoughts before the real fun gets underway a little later: -I like that the storm is taking its time developing the precip shield. This should bode well for later on. -I like seeing the development of the precip shield with an increasing south to north orientation. -I like seeing the western extent of the precip shield back to the Ohio border. -inverted trough snow bands notoriously shift to the east at game time as @psuhoffman has mentioned this week. I like seeing this band modeled just to the west of the LSV main corridor at this point. The Harrisburg & York crew just need a slight adjustment east to get into the goods.

Large snow flakes are starting to mix in here now in Marysville as the heavier band approaches. I woke up about an hour ago to light snow & light rain mix.

Lol, good morning, many of us were up late tracking. The main show begins a little later on.

@canderson lol, guess what… shockingly another local outlet ABC 27 upgraded their forecast to to 4 to 8 for most of us…

@canderson WGAL updated their map to 4 to 8 for most us … so a local outlet is starting to get on board.

MJS… I too have had a couple of “beverages” & am ready to reel in this storm for all of us!

So if models can’t get low temps right, what else are they missing?

MDT down to 29 at midnight…. Every flake will count & roads will cave !

Except for the National weather service & most short range models. It will be fun to watch the “surprise” by folks expecting the low ball forecasts…

My temp is at 30 with 27 dew.

Thanks for mentioning that, I just realized that it is an 8 am Hold medal hockey game.

MDT is already down to 31 at 10 pm, which is 2 degrees lower than the overnight low forecast.

0z NBM

Dude, that was a first rate legendary write up… well done!

Oh, I’ll have several day dreams depending on the scenery…lol!

After this event, we could be tracking a mid week Clipper for a little pack refresher. Potential for a mixed event towards the end of the work week. Then, check out the 12z Euro for March 2nd & 3rd. I don’t want to post maps to avoid muddying the waters with the current event… Bottom line is we won’t be done tracking after tomorrow’s event!

My goal for this storm for MDT is for them to record at least 9.4 inches of inches of snow to get to an even 30 inches for the season to date, which will get us to climo average for the season. This Winter deserves to be officially above normal with the seasonal snow total. We have an opportunity to get there tomorrow!

You are so right! When I’m at the shore roasting this Summer, I will day dream about a low sitting right off of the DelMarVa that crushes the LSV with heavy snow… and here we freaking are tonight!

This is right in line with CTP’s current Warning for the LSV for 6 to 12.

Here’s the 3k NAM close up for CTP