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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. From our old friend @MillvilleWx posted recently in the Mid Atlantic thread. Final Forecast for the Storm Some adjustments were made to reduce snow a touch and increase sleet which is a lower ratio component of the forecast. Still will be a formidable storm with some ice accretion added for good measure. A lot of the snowfall range should be take for a south to north crescendo with higher ranges more likely to the north of the lines presented. Will not be perfect by any stretch, but gives a good proxy. High impact event regardless as cold air behind the storm is very legit and we will struggle to break freezing for several days post storm. Be warm and safe everyone!
  2. From our long lost friend @mitchnick in the other thread… No GGEM or RGEM, but the Geps updated and here's its snowfall. Not bad folks. EDIT: Obviously includes sleet at 10:1
  3. The Euro this close in should always be factored in to me.
  4. Mix reaches Harrisburg, Lebanon & Carlisle by evening when precip rates begin to back off.
  5. Looks like heavy, heavy snow before the mix occurs in the LSV per the Euro.
  6. Next few Euro panels shows mix approaching turnpike by late afternoon & early evening.
  7. 12z Euro keeps All of us heavy snow through 1 pm tomorrow this run.
  8. Do you think the start time for our region might be moved up to earlier tonight based on current Obs/radar?
  9. It’s good to see it’s already snowing in western Kentucky in Bowling Green last hour at 1 mile visibility. Not much virga to overcome.
  10. lol, thanks, here’s what it shows for those that didn’t open the link…
  11. SPC disagrees… Mesoscale Discussion 0043 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0853 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026 Areas affected...northeast TX...southern AR...northern LA...western MS Concerning...Winter mixed precipitation Valid 241453Z - 242000Z SUMMARY...Moderate to heavy freezing rain and sleet are expected to persist across the Ark-La-Tex to Ark-La-Miss regions into early afternoon. Liquid-equivalent precipitation rates of a tenth to quarter-inch per hour should be common, locally up to a half-inch per hour. DISCUSSION...A swath of moderate to heavy mixed precipitation is ongoing across east TX and the Ark-La-Tex. Surface observations confirm hourly precipitation rates of .10-.25 in/hr are common, up to around .50 in/hr. 12Z guidance is rather consistent in indicating this swath of precip persisting through at least early afternoon, gradually shifting east-northeast amid rather pronounced low-level warm theta-e advection. A classic freezing rain to sleet sounding was sampled at 12Z in SHV. This type of thermodynamic profile should continue to steadily push southward in northern LA. Farther east, the surface freezing line should only drift to nearly stall across western MS into the early afternoon. ..Grams.. 01/24/2026
  12. Classic cave! This does Not count for the contest, lol!
  13. Here are the last 2 panels with anything significant, things lighten up by late evening for most.
  14. 12 to 16 on GFS for Harrisburg, York & Lancaster reporting stations this run. GFS is mostly noise level changes.
  15. @Ellinwood updated his forecast, but still had PA looking good! Made more significant adjustments in the mountains and pulled back totals around the coast and the DMV region a little. Gonna be interesting to see how quickly things change over to sleet, but we all know that leaning earlier vs later is the way to go 90% of the time.
  16. It’s already snowing in Tennessee. Precip looks to really be blossoming & moving rather quickly east to northeast. Maybe we get an earlier start time while the cold is still fully entrenched?
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