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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. Blizzard of 93
  2. Blizzard of 93
    The window on the 23rd on the 12z EPS has a favorable Miller B look this run that could lead to a potential winter storm chance.
  3. Blizzard of 93
    Here is the 12z EPS 24 hour precip & snow for the 23rd chance.
  4. Blizzard of 93
    The window on the 23rd on the 12z EPS has a favorable Miller B look this run that could lead to a potential winter storm chance.
  5. Blizzard of 93
    Even after whatever table scraps we may get this evening, the 12z Euro & Euro AI say that the pattern through the end of this month looks to be active with a few Winter storm chances.
  6. Blizzard of 93
    12z GFS still is showing 1 to 2 inches of snow tonight for the LSV.
  7. Blizzard of 93
    The “better” runs early yesterday had the LSV getting .4 to .5 of precip that produced 3 to 4 inches of snow on the snow maps. Now, in that same time period, the models are closer to .2 of precip, so that’s only producing around 1 inch or snow or less in recent runs.
  8. Blizzard of 93
    It’s all about precip rates. If we would get good precip, it would snow. Marginal situations require good rates to overcome & snow.
  9. Blizzard of 93
    0z GFS keeps hope alive for tomorrow evening with up to 2 inches for the LSV this run.
  10. Blizzard of 93
    I mean, just look at thIs from @Newman in the Philly thread. Just a tiny difference between 12z and 18z RRFS. Something must've gotten into the NOAA mesoscale products at 12z LOL
  11. Blizzard of 93
    Under 48 hours, nine times out of 10, once a trend starts, it usually either builds momentum or levels out. These continual all over the place rug pulls are brutal with this potential event.
  12. Blizzard of 93
    I am so ready to be done tracking this system! 2 weeks ago, many of us started watching this weekend period. It went from potential major storm to no storm to late yesterday looking like a potential recovery to an Advisory event to now who the bleep knows!
  13. Blizzard of 93
    18z just cut back as well. About .20 less precip for the LSV, so snow amounts are now less than 2 inches for most of us this run.
  14. Blizzard of 93
    I do like seeing the healthy looking established precip shield already covering most of Missouri & extending the whole way down to the Texas Gulf coast. The ingredients are there for us to over perform if we get the rates in southern PA tomorrow evening.
  15. Blizzard of 93
    Lol, .49 for ITT!
  16. Blizzard of 93
    51 on my home Marysville station. Felt great to go out without a coat!
  17. Blizzard of 93
    12z Euro precip improved for the LSV at 12z vs. 6z.
  18. Blizzard of 93
  19. Blizzard of 93
    12z Euro coming in slightly better for snow & precip in the LSV over its previous run. Maps coming soon.
  20. Blizzard of 93
    Lol, I just realized that he 12z GFS precip map put a “blue” area of .50 precip right over ITT & MJS !
  21. Blizzard of 93
    For the LSV area, the precip difference between 12z & 6z on the GFS was mostly noise level.
  22. Blizzard of 93
    Agreed, if we get moderate rates, we will snow tomorrow evening. The track is ideal to work with a marginal air mass at this time of year. There is not a primary low tracking toward northern WV this time.
  23. Blizzard of 93
    Yes, solid hold for the 12z GFS and in line with the 12z NAMs.
  24. Blizzard of 93
    Great to see the NAMs joining the GFS this morning! The last big storm a few weeks ago, the NAMs did well at least with thermals, hopefully they continue & lock in later today.
  25. Blizzard of 93
    Let’s hope for some model consensus today.
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