Blizzard of 93

18z EPS probability of 6 inches of snow or more for this event.

Great to see the High over upstate NY too.

That would help and slightly weaker system would help it not over amp too soon before it reaches our latitude.

Here is the Harrisburg forecast from CTP. Sunday A chance of snow after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 31. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Sunday Night Snow. Low around 24. Chance of precipitation is 80%. M.L.King Day A chance of rain, snow, and freezing rain before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 38. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Now you’re talking!

Similar amounts on the 12z EPS for MDT

18z GEFS snow

Fantastic news on the GEFS!

The GFS at 0z had 3 more Winter storm chances AFTER Monday. Our tracking has just started!

I think the EPS is the way to go at this time. Snow distribution looks classic for a coastal storm that hugs the coast.

The GFS track is rare & does not make sense. Storms usually do not cross right through the middle of PA.

Here is the 0z Euro snow.

It is a strange track from the Chesapeake to near NYC & Long Island a few hours later.

Here is a close up of the 0z Euro as the low approaches.

No, we are resting up for the super busy days of tracking a major coastal storm!

GFS 0z still has an inland runner. Snow to mix for Susquehanna Valley with heavy snow for western half of PA. Lots of time for shifting into a better solution with the amount of cold & precip available for this event. Let’s see what the rest of 0z brings.

Here is the 0z ICON surface & snow. The low tracks to the Delaware Bay.

Here is a portion of DT’s write up this evening on his website: “Interior portions of the Mid-Atlantic and New England should expect to see a major snowstorm. The probability is high of 6+ inches of snow WEST of Interstate 85 in North Carolina, and in southwest Virginia, all of the Shenandoah Valley, the eastern half of West Virginia, western and central Maryland, central and eastern Pennsylvania, interior southeast New York, and interior portions of New England. In fact, some of these areas have a pretty good chance of receiving 12 inches of snow.”

There is an old weather saying …If you predict the High, you can predict the low.

Great to see you back on here!

Yes, very cold temps leading in & a near perfect track…and then we could have 1996 all over again!

Lol…So I read this as you are saying to fully expect 96 amounts…got it…thanks!

There are lots of players on the field. The final phasing or lack there of, will determine the final track & intensity. We are only 5 days out, but we are still 5 days out….

Here is the rest of the 18z EPS Many options still on the table.

Yes, & the 18z EPS individual members show less tucked tracks than the 12z run.