Here is some of the CTP discussion today.
Latest ensemble mean qpf, combined with WPC mean snow ratios in
the 12-15/1 range, support snow totals tonight ranging from less
than an inch north of I-80, to around 4 inches over Somerset
and Bedford counties. As for timing, latest hi-res guidance
indicates snow will develop across the southwest part of the
forecast area by dusk, then rapidly overspread the rest of the
area during the evening hours.