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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. My handbook says to just hug the model that gives me the most snow… so tonight the winner is the 0z ICON.
  2. 0z Euro still brings the low right into the LSV. The low this run actually passes not too far from my house on Monday morning. It still has a solid front end thump of snow for most of us.
  3. The low should ride the boundary. The boundary is not in the middle of CTP as some of the Ops have shown over the last day.
  4. 18z EPS probability of 6 inches of snow or more for this event.
  5. That would help and slightly weaker system would help it not over amp too soon before it reaches our latitude.
  6. Here is the Harrisburg forecast from CTP. Sunday A chance of snow after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 31. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Sunday Night Snow. Low around 24. Chance of precipitation is 80%. M.L.King Day A chance of rain, snow, and freezing rain before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 38. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
  7. The GFS at 0z had 3 more Winter storm chances AFTER Monday. Our tracking has just started!
  8. I think the EPS is the way to go at this time. Snow distribution looks classic for a coastal storm that hugs the coast.
  9. The GFS track is rare & does not make sense. Storms usually do not cross right through the middle of PA.
  10. It is a strange track from the Chesapeake to near NYC & Long Island a few hours later.
  11. Here is a close up of the 0z Euro as the low approaches.
  12. No, we are resting up for the super busy days of tracking a major coastal storm!
  13. GFS 0z still has an inland runner. Snow to mix for Susquehanna Valley with heavy snow for western half of PA. Lots of time for shifting into a better solution with the amount of cold & precip available for this event. Let’s see what the rest of 0z brings.
  14. Here is the 0z ICON surface & snow. The low tracks to the Delaware Bay.
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