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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. Blizzard of 93
    Ask @canderson tomorrow?
  2. Blizzard of 93
    My handbook says to just hug the model that gives me the most snow… so tonight the winner is the 0z ICON.
  3. Blizzard of 93
    Here is the 0z Euro snow.
  4. Blizzard of 93
    0z Euro still brings the low right into the LSV. The low this run actually passes not too far from my house on Monday morning. It still has a solid front end thump of snow for most of us.
  5. Blizzard of 93
    The low should ride the boundary. The boundary is not in the middle of CTP as some of the Ops have shown over the last day.
  6. Blizzard of 93
    Indeed again..
  7. Blizzard of 93
    Indeed…
  8. Blizzard of 93
    Yes, very slight.
  9. Blizzard of 93
    18z EPS probability of 6 inches of snow or more for this event.
  10. Blizzard of 93
    Great to see the High over upstate NY too.
  11. Blizzard of 93
    That would help and slightly weaker system would help it not over amp too soon before it reaches our latitude.
  12. Blizzard of 93
    Here is the Harrisburg forecast from CTP. Sunday A chance of snow after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 31. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Sunday Night Snow. Low around 24. Chance of precipitation is 80%. M.L.King Day A chance of rain, snow, and freezing rain before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 38. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
  13. Blizzard of 93
    Now you’re talking!
  14. Blizzard of 93
    Similar amounts on the 12z EPS for MDT
  15. Blizzard of 93
    18z GEFS snow
  16. Blizzard of 93
    Fantastic news on the GEFS!
  17. Blizzard of 93
    The GFS at 0z had 3 more Winter storm chances AFTER Monday. Our tracking has just started!
  18. Blizzard of 93
    I think the EPS is the way to go at this time. Snow distribution looks classic for a coastal storm that hugs the coast.
  19. Blizzard of 93
    The GFS track is rare & does not make sense. Storms usually do not cross right through the middle of PA.
  20. Blizzard of 93
    Here is the 0z Euro snow.
  21. Blizzard of 93
    It is a strange track from the Chesapeake to near NYC & Long Island a few hours later.
  22. Blizzard of 93
    Here is a close up of the 0z Euro as the low approaches.
  23. Blizzard of 93
    No, we are resting up for the super busy days of tracking a major coastal storm!
  24. Blizzard of 93
    GFS 0z still has an inland runner. Snow to mix for Susquehanna Valley with heavy snow for western half of PA. Lots of time for shifting into a better solution with the amount of cold & precip available for this event. Let’s see what the rest of 0z brings.
  25. Blizzard of 93
    Here is the 0z ICON surface & snow. The low tracks to the Delaware Bay.
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