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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. That works for me! Bring the good rates for 6 or more hours of heavy snow & then let the chips fall where they may.
  2. As some have pointed out in here & in the the Mid Atlantic thread, the models are trying to figure out where to place the low as it stacks at our latitude.
  3. We still have a few days to get a 50 or so mile adjustment in the Ops which would give the LSV a better chance at more snow.
  4. The 6z GEFS is still well east of other Ops & ensembles.
  5. Here is the 6z GFS. Slight shift east on 6z vs. 0z. Then a second low developed off of the coast of southern New England at hour 102.
  6. My handbook says to just hug the model that gives me the most snow… so tonight the winner is the 0z ICON.
  7. 0z Euro still brings the low right into the LSV. The low this run actually passes not too far from my house on Monday morning. It still has a solid front end thump of snow for most of us.
  8. The low should ride the boundary. The boundary is not in the middle of CTP as some of the Ops have shown over the last day.
  9. 18z EPS probability of 6 inches of snow or more for this event.
  10. That would help and slightly weaker system would help it not over amp too soon before it reaches our latitude.
  11. Here is the Harrisburg forecast from CTP. Sunday A chance of snow after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 31. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Sunday Night Snow. Low around 24. Chance of precipitation is 80%. M.L.King Day A chance of rain, snow, and freezing rain before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 38. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
  12. The GFS at 0z had 3 more Winter storm chances AFTER Monday. Our tracking has just started!
  13. I think the EPS is the way to go at this time. Snow distribution looks classic for a coastal storm that hugs the coast.
  14. The GFS track is rare & does not make sense. Storms usually do not cross right through the middle of PA.
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