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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. The 18z EPS is showing the front end potential from the initial coastal low. It also shows the back end snow as the front moves through with a low popping near Cape May, NJ.
  2. Yes, most of the time it is over modeled, but it worked last March.
  3. Yes, like you & @MAG5035 and I said earlier, we can at least possibly score in the front end with the initial coastal & then after the front passes on the back end. Here is more from the 18z GFS
  4. It’s likely a brief reshuffle & then back to a favorable pattern with chances by the end of the first week of January.
  5. It just worked last March, I think around March 10th or so. Temps dropped from the 40s to the 20s in the span of an hour or 2. Brief rain turned to moderate to heavy snow as soon as the front passed through. I scored around 5 inches of snow from about 6 hours of good snow. I think MDT recorded 2 or 3 inches. Most of us had a good Advisory event out of anafront snow…in March, just last year!
  6. The 12z Euro shows that we can still score a little snow out of this if the track ends up this way. There is the chance of a little front end snow from the initial coastal. Then, as the Arctic front approaches, there may be energy left behind for a period of snow as the front crosses & temps crash.
  7. 12z GEFS still shows there are ways to score good snow even if we don’t get the best solution/track this week.
  8. The 12z GEFS took a step in the wrong direction. Still some ensemble members that can work for us, but it trended the wrong way this run, with more inland/cutter tracks.
  9. Yes, let’s see where things go over the next 48 hours before anything locks in.
  10. Lots of room in all directions for us to score something this week.
  11. Here is the 0z GEFS snow map for the few day period of this storm.
  12. Great mean track as it strengthens while traveling up just off of the coast.
  13. Yes indeed! Long way to go, but good sign that the GFS hasn’t caved & the ICON came around to support the GFS tonight.
  14. Good points, 24 to 48 hours ago the Euro & Canadian both had good snow runs for us. Lots still to be resolved.
  15. This from DT’s blog this evening: “Therefore at this time I do not consider the12z Fri operational European in the Canadian models to be Valid. Of course, I could be wrong. Patterns / wave physics over models!”
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