Blizzard of 93

Lol, Partly cloudy & 32 in Marysville

Lol, after reading the posts on here this morning, I’m not sure if I’m allowed to post about future patterns or storm chances outside of 1 day? it sounds like a few people want to turn this into a glorified Obs thread.

It’s Not what we wanted considering what was on the table for later this week a few days ago….but it should be a crazy few days of weather around Christmas. Thursday A chance of rain, snow, and freezing rain before 1pm, then rain. High near 43. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Thursday Night Rain. Low around 42. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Friday Rain before 1pm, then rain and snow showers likely. High near 47. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Friday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 13. Saturday Partly sunny, with a high near 20. Breezy. Saturday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 12. Christmas Day Mostly sunny, with a high near 21.

Front end & back end is probably all we can hope for at this point.

Come on man, I’m clearly having fun…. The 84 hour NAM & extrapolated NAM is a long running joke all across all weather boards… Relax, I promise it will snow this season !

Lol, 84 hr NAM, but it actually does show frozen precip in the LSV.

MDT is running .4 below normal temperature for the month to date.

Plenty of time for a slight shift east for you and our Lancaster & Lebanon friends.

Sorry to hear that. Yes, usually they don’t work well for us post front, but it did last March.

The back end post Front delivers a little more, especially west of the Susquehanna. Road trip to @Bubbler86 or @MAG5035 I will bring the egg nog!

Let’s see what the back end does.

Yes, hello front end on the 18z GFS. I think there is a chance for this to trend even better over the next couple of days.

Remember last March 3 to 5 inch region wide snow from a post Front situation?

Lol, it’s a busy time of year & football is on now!

Here is the 6z GFS through Christmas Eve am

6z GFS likes the front end snow idea for Thursday for most of us.

Lol, yes cancel it! We go through this every year. A few bad model runs & a few people on here jump off of the cliff and think it will never ever snow again! It’s the middle of December!

I think the initial coastal has the chance to improve our snow chances at the beginning of the event. High pressure in eastern Canada plus the main low still developing way to the west could allow a nice front end opportunity. Here is the 0z GFS & Canadian

Here is the. 0z GFS snow map

Yes, the front end has been improving the last couple of model runs for frozen precip. Here is the 0z Canadian & GFS

Complicated set up with lots still to be resolved 5 to 6 days out.

The 18z EPS is showing the front end potential from the initial coastal low. It also shows the back end snow as the front moves through with a low popping near Cape May, NJ.

Yes, most of the time it is over modeled, but it worked last March.

It’s snowing at the Cleveland game now.

Yes, like you & @MAG5035 and I said earlier, we can at least possibly score in the front end with the initial coastal & then after the front passes on the back end. Here is more from the 18z GFS