Blizzard of 93

The MU posts are great. Horst & the new MU guy really have fantastic analysis. I like when @Itstrainingtime posts their forecasts on here. We can then still discuss their thoughts and agree or disagree, as long as we have something reasonable to support it. Some of the Twitter Mets & pro/semi-pro forecasters on the Internet really do drive the hype, but I have learned to read between the lines & extract their ideas. I think the sports posts are good, especially when nothing major is going on with the weather. It’s all usually in good fun & it keeps the discussion going in here when the weather is not too exciting.

Looking at patterns 2 weeks out on ensembles helps to give us an idea of where we are possibly heading in terms of potential sensible weather. When the various ensembles agree and they don’t get pushed back in time, then we can reasonably expect that the advertised pattern is likely correct. The teleconnections that some of us post help to indicate where the pattern is potentially heading. They help to forecast where the ridges, troughs, etc. should be located that then will impact our storm tracks & air mass type. We all have varying levels of understanding these concepts. I have learned a ton from some good posters in here and the other regional forums. Discussion on the pattern & looking at the range of possibilities is what most weather boards are built upon. Sometimes advertised patterns come to fruition and other times they they never materialize, but it should always be ok to discuss and share our thoughts & analysis. The thrill of the chase, especially in the Winter, is what keeps me coming back here every day!

Lol, how much is the fee? Maybe we could start a go fund me for it!

We need to try to all get along on here! We all have different posting styles & tendencies. There are many running jokes & funny references that go back years in some cases. Sometimes, we talk about sports, even though we root for a variety of teams. It is all good with me. I have learned not to take anything personal on here. We all share a love for the weather, but we each have a different style of expressing our thoughts. I have never met any of you in person, but I feel like I know a decent bit about many of you. I look forward to visiting this place everyday!

12z Euro & 18z GFS like the idea of some snow on Friday for a good part of CTP.

Friday A slight chance of rain before 8am, then a chance of rain and snow between 8am and 2pm, then a chance of rain after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 43. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Little or no snow accumulation expected. Friday Night Rain likely before 2am, then a chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 34. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Saturday A chance of rain and snow before 8am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 42. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

The overnight & early morning models have weakened the Friday pm storm, but still show the chance for some light frozen precip for parts of CTP.

The 0z GFS has finally joined many other models showing the snow potential for Friday night.

The Euro & Canadian ensembles have a nice area of High pressure sitting in southern Canada funneling in the cold air to help to support the CTP snow chance Friday pm.

The 12z Canadian ensemble is on on board for Friday pm snow for CTP.

The 18z Euro ensemble still insists on bringing us Friday pm snow.

I’m searching everywhere for snow… The 18z ICON is on board with Friday pm snow.

19 for the low in Marysville with heavy frost.

Even the latest ICON takes most of the precip to the south of PA.

Here is the 0z Euro for Friday night. It has the snow potential further south.

Here is the 0z Canadian for Friday night.

The GFS is all alone for the Friday potential.

The 0z GFS is not yet on board and continues to track the Friday system further north than the other models, bringing rain to CTP this run.

I’m certainly not not sleeping on it…see all of my posts above. I think that CTP is in a good spot for an Advisory level event.

@MAG5035 what do you think of the chances for CTP snow this Friday?

The 12z Canadian also had a strong coastal storm for 12/14 at the end of its run today

Here is the snow map through 12/16 just for fun!

Wow to the 18z GFS for the coastal storm it shows for 12/15 & 12/16!

The 12z Canadian agrees with the Euro for the CTP snow chance

We have a chance to look like full Winter with some snow on the ground by the end of this week.