Blizzard of 93

I like the Marysville CTP forecast Wednesday Night A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Thursday Snow. High near 36. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Thursday Night Snow likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Friday A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 38. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Long way to go before the final track is determined. 50 miles will make a big difference either way.

12z GEFS looks good. Several offshore low locations

12z runs so far choosing the inland runner track. Let’s see what the Euro says later. Long way to go for the final track to be determined & precip type locations.

It’s not locked in yet, but the ensembles & most of the Op runs the last couple of days are saying the potential is certainly there for a Winter storm for most of us.

The 6z Euro ensemble has a great coastal signal for the Thursday/Friday potential. The storm is still crawling up the coast at the end of the 6 day run.

Good point, right now the Canadian is the mid ground between the GFS minor event & the Euro Major storm.

Amazing 0z Euro run for the Thursday/Friday potential coastal storm. The storm crawls from the DelMarVa coast on Thursday evening to just off of the NJ coast by Friday evening. What a great run for CTP. Let’s see what 12z brings today.

6z GFS is starting to come back around for the Thursday/Friday event as well.

The 0z Canadian was plenty juiced with the coastal development, but had more mixed precip more southern PA.

Yes indeed, the 0z GEFS still has a good signal for the Thursday snow chance with coastal development off of the NC coast.

The 0z Canadian still has the Thursday Winter storm chance. It has the low in the Midwest come to a halt because of the blocking & develops a low off of the VA coast that crawls northeast as it strengthens and draws in colder air to CTP. This run verbatim has mixed precip going over to snow for most of us. Hopefully the Euro will agree later on. Here is the 0z Canadian for Thursday.

The 0z GFS still shreds the storm chance next for Thursday this run.

I’ll take my Sunday am car topper that the 0z RGEM & 3k NAM are advertising.

It’s nice to see “snow likely” in my CTP forecast for early Sunday am. Saturday Night A chance of rain and snow between 1am and 4am, then a chance of snow after 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32. East wind 6 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. Sunday Snow likely before 7am, then rain and snow likely between 7am and 10am, then rain likely after 10am. Cloudy, with a high near 40. Southeast wind 5 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

First things first, we need to see if we can score a minor event overnight Saturday into Sunday. Many models have show that the PA turnpike on north have the chance for a little snow. Let’s see what the 0z runs bring tonight.

This has the chance to be an awesome couple of weeks as we approach the holidays! Lots of late nights of tracking on the way!

The rest of the 6z GFS run has a few other potential storms after the opportunity next week. The run up through the Holidays could be full of tracking!

The low then crawls up the Mid Atlantic coast on Friday with snow for all of us this run on the 6z GFS. Lots a time to go, but only 1 week away from this potential.

This is next Thursday & Friday, so this is not out in fantasy land.

Yes! The 6z GFS again brings the low in the Midwest to a screeching halt thanks to the blocking & wall of strong High pressure to the north.

The 6z GFS brings on Sunday some light snow to southern PA with more potential for northern PA.

The 0z GFS has a very interesting Winter storm potential late next week. The blocking forces the storm in the Midwest to hit a brick wall. The low redevelops this run well to the south of us near the VA/NC border. This run brings significant snow to most of CTP. This is 1 week out, but the blocking is causing this to trend in the right direction at this time.

The pattern should support multiple chances for Winter storms the last 2 weeks of the month which should provide lots of tracking as we approach the holidays.

The 0z RGEM & NAM both have some light snow for CTP on Sunday.