The 0z Euro has a very interesting look for the Friday snow in CTP.
It still takes the low into Ohio, but the blocking & strong High pressure to the north forces it to redevelop off of the DelMarVa.
This could bring snow to many of us if this plays out this way.
Interesting 12z runs for next Friday on the GFS, Canadian & Euro.
The Euro & GFS both track a low towards Ohio, but then the blocking forces the low to redevelop off of the DelMarVa. The Euro solution delivers some snow to most of CTP this run.
The Canadian has the same idea, but redevelops the low further south & mostly misses PA.
The 18z GFS delivered a heck of a Happy Hour for us by showing a Winter storm potential on December 12th.
The blocking eventually forces this storm off of the coast of the DelMarVa and delivers Warning level snow to most of CTP.
As @Bubbler86 mentioned, the 6z GFS has the Winter storm chance for next Friday.
There is a good High to our north feeding in cold air. The blocking pattern forces the low to redevelop off of the Notth Carolina coast as a stronger area of High pressure builds to our North.
Sign me & @paweather up please!
The overnight models looked to be keying on a potential Winter Storm around the 10th. Lots of time & many days to go, but the potential should be there with cold air available and the blocking in Greenland established.
Hopefully all of our dreams of record setting snow this Winter come true!
Met. Winter is finally here!
The upcoming pattern looks to be loaded with Winter storm potential….Let’s go!
The crazy solutions should now continue to show on the Op runs for the period between the 10th & 15th.
It should be just a matter of time until this blocking pattern produces a Winter storm for us.
Here is another look at the 12z GFS storm toward the end of its run.
The ensembles, 0z EPS & GEPS as well as the 6z GEFS, all have increased snow amounts over the next 16 days, most of it in week 2.
I just use these as an indicator for the response to the pattern change, but this is a good sign on these runs.