Blizzard of 93

24 for my low in Marysville & 27 currently. The upcoming pattern starting in about 10 days should get full time winter storm tracking well underway. Happy Turkey Eve!

Really, I haven’t looked yet…On the 6z GFS…?

MDT departure from normal temperature for the month now stands at +2.8. This number has really been chopped down the last few days with a few -10’s going in the books. The rest of this week looks to be within a couple degrees of normal, so this number will probably only change slightly moving forward.

MDT got down to 25 this morning.

22 low in Marysville

MDT had a low of 20 this morning, which was only 1 degree away from the record low of 19 back in 1951.

It’s November 21st and our average high temperatures are still near 50. Some of us already scored some early season snow & we have had some frigid temperatures this week. Our snow tracking time is coming soon!

Low of 17 in Marysville this morning. Crazy cold for November!

Lol, MDT will probably rise to 50 overnight because of heavy holiday week jet traffic!

In one word…. Nope !

I think most of us are out of the game for this event, but the the higher elevations of the northern & western half of CTP are still in the game in my opinion.

That primary is very weak. Need the coastal to get going & deepen as soon as possible further south.

The 12z Euro deepens a coastal low right into NYC on Friday night. This run is good enough to flip North central PA to snow. You might be in a good spot at your cabin on Friday night.

Yes, the models are correcting back to a strong storm towards the coast, but too far inland at this time. It’s Probably too late & too warm for most of us, but the final track is not yet written in stone.

Enjoy the brisket! Turkey week is upon us!

I had a scattered light dusting on the car tops early this morning. Yet again, I missed the actual snow falling from the sky, lol!

I don’t think the coastal storm threat for the end of this coming week can totally be written off yet. The 0z EPS still develops a coastal storm in the DelMarVa and tracks it up off of Long Island. If the coastal development takes place at that latitude, then it’s just a matter of how much cold air is available.

I got down to 21 last night in Marysville. Coldest morning this season.

CTP shows this for Thanksgiving in Harrisburg. Wednesday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 29. Thanksgiving Day Mostly sunny, with a high near 49. Thursday Night A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

The 12z GFS has a storm for late next week, but this is not the look that we want for snow around here. Plenty of time for changes either way.

Here is CTP’s timing of the squalls today.

I thought that you got a coating of snow from the storm on Tuesday?

I-81 also had that terrible chain reaction several dozen vehicle crash last year in a snow squall.

Here is CTP’s expected snow for today with the squalls.

Here are CTP’s thoughts for today’s snow squall potential: The better threat of heavier snow showers/squalls still looks to occur from about late morning through the afternoon hours, and mostly east of the I-99 corridor. Neutral sfc pattern to weak ridging will occur this morning, prior to a rather well-defined mid level vort max and left exit region of a 300 mb jet punching across the region this this afternoon (19-22Z West and 21-01Z Sat across the Susq Valley and points east). These weather features and a sharpening sfc trough will bring the threat of mainly isolated cellular combined with perhaps a quasi-linear band of heavy snow squalls within the timeframes noted above. The primary difference among guidance is variation in the amount of low level convergence along the front, which would determine the mode (single vs multiple bands) of any possible squalls. Given warm lakes and anomalously cold air means that this event could become hybrid and overperform due to the maximized lake air deltaTs. low-level wet bulb temps should be warm enough to support a mix of isolated to scattered and lighter, rain and wet snow showers prior to the late day arrival of any squalls across the Lower Susq Valley. The anticipated above freezing road temps across the Central Ridge and Valley Region and Susq Region will combine with low dewpoints, potential westerly wind gusts up to 35 mph and briefly heavy snow in the squalls to quickly drop road temps and bring the potential for localized flash freezes of the road pavement.