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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. What the heck, it’s Friday….might as well post the 6z GFS Kuchera snow map for the event for next Friday! We are only 1 week away from this potential…
  2. As @Bubbler86 mentioned, the 6z GFS has the Winter storm chance for next Friday. There is a good High to our north feeding in cold air. The blocking pattern forces the low to redevelop off of the Notth Carolina coast as a stronger area of High pressure builds to our North. Sign me & @paweather up please!
  3. The new Euro Weeklies run has a great look for the week before Christmas.
  4. The 6z GFS has this storm potential for the 13th with a low off of the South Carolina coast.
  5. The overnight models looked to be keying on a potential Winter Storm around the 10th. Lots of time & many days to go, but the potential should be there with cold air available and the blocking in Greenland established.
  6. Hopefully all of our dreams of record setting snow this Winter come true! Met. Winter is finally here! The upcoming pattern looks to be loaded with Winter storm potential….Let’s go!
  7. The crazy solutions should now continue to show on the Op runs for the period between the 10th & 15th. It should be just a matter of time until this blocking pattern produces a Winter storm for us. Here is another look at the 12z GFS storm toward the end of its run.
  8. The system on the 7th still needs to be watched for potential winter weather for CTP. The last 3 runs have pushed the wintry weather further south.
  9. The ensembles, 0z EPS & GEPS as well as the 6z GEFS, all have increased snow amounts over the next 16 days, most of it in week 2. I just use these as an indicator for the response to the pattern change, but this is a good sign on these runs.
  10. @paweather The 6z GFS has snow for us towards the end of the run.
  11. Yes, and the ensembles today look great as well. It should be a fun few weeks of tracking as the Holidays are approaching.
  12. Thanks, i am honored to accept your nomination!
  13. The 0z EPS continues to show the Greenland block established by day 10 and further entrenched by day 15, with troughing developing in the east. Our Winter Storm window should be wide open once this advertised pattern sets up.
  14. The amount of blocking that is being well advertised by the ensembles should produce some crazy Op run solutions as we approach the true window of opportunity after day 10. The 18z GFS just gave us one of these crazy solutions. The day 14 storm comes to a screeching halt off of the Mid Atlantic coast.
  15. It’s always been at least after the 5th until the pattern change kicks in! If the great look on the ensembles continues to hold as it has for days, we should have plenty to track after December 5th.
  16. It should just be a matter of time if that look holds and then locks in for a couple of weeks.
  17. Check out the blocking showing up on the Euro Op at the end of the 10 day run…wow!
  18. Exactly, their really knowledgeable posters have helped me to learn a ton over the years. When things are looking good, they are a must read for me.
  19. I looked at that as well, but the follow up storm didn’t deliver Winter goods, but 300 plus hours away!
  20. The 0z GFS showed the type of Winter storm that the good pattern could produce for us once the pattern change arrives. Here is 12/8
  21. The look has been holding for days. I expect to be tracking a specific threat sometime between December 6th & 10th.
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