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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. Yes, hello front end on the 18z GFS. I think there is a chance for this to trend even better over the next couple of days.
  2. Remember last March 3 to 5 inch region wide snow from a post Front situation?
  3. Lol, it’s a busy time of year & football is on now!
  4. 6z GFS likes the front end snow idea for Thursday for most of us.
  5. Lol, yes cancel it! We go through this every year. A few bad model runs & a few people on here jump off of the cliff and think it will never ever snow again! It’s the middle of December!
  6. I think the initial coastal has the chance to improve our snow chances at the beginning of the event. High pressure in eastern Canada plus the main low still developing way to the west could allow a nice front end opportunity. Here is the 0z GFS & Canadian
  7. Yes, the front end has been improving the last couple of model runs for frozen precip. Here is the 0z Canadian & GFS
  8. Complicated set up with lots still to be resolved 5 to 6 days out.
  9. The 18z EPS is showing the front end potential from the initial coastal low. It also shows the back end snow as the front moves through with a low popping near Cape May, NJ.
  10. Yes, most of the time it is over modeled, but it worked last March.
  11. Yes, like you & @MAG5035 and I said earlier, we can at least possibly score in the front end with the initial coastal & then after the front passes on the back end. Here is more from the 18z GFS
  12. It’s likely a brief reshuffle & then back to a favorable pattern with chances by the end of the first week of January.
  13. It just worked last March, I think around March 10th or so. Temps dropped from the 40s to the 20s in the span of an hour or 2. Brief rain turned to moderate to heavy snow as soon as the front passed through. I scored around 5 inches of snow from about 6 hours of good snow. I think MDT recorded 2 or 3 inches. Most of us had a good Advisory event out of anafront snow…in March, just last year!
  14. The 12z Euro shows that we can still score a little snow out of this if the track ends up this way. There is the chance of a little front end snow from the initial coastal. Then, as the Arctic front approaches, there may be energy left behind for a period of snow as the front crosses & temps crash.
  15. 12z GEFS still shows there are ways to score good snow even if we don’t get the best solution/track this week.
  16. The 12z GEFS took a step in the wrong direction. Still some ensemble members that can work for us, but it trended the wrong way this run, with more inland/cutter tracks.
  17. Yes, let’s see where things go over the next 48 hours before anything locks in.
  18. Lots of room in all directions for us to score something this week.
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