Blizzard of 93

I need to take my trash out later, but I’m really not sure if my trash cans will still be there!

There is Still a disagreement on the 0z models for the next Sunday night into Monday period. The GFS & Canadian amp the system up & cut the storm to our west, bringing rain. The Euro solution puts us in the game by taking the storm off to our south.

The wind is still absolutely brutal here!

The 12z GFS still likes the period around the 23rd for a Winter storm chance for CTP. This run It has a storm that tracks a low from the south central states to WV and then secondaries near the DelMarVa.

Wearing shorts I assume….lol ?

Exactly, thank you! Also, to me the advertised pattern looks like it could produce storminess & just cold enough temps for us to score in CTP once we get to the last 10 days of the month. I have no interest in Arctic cold with the occasional snow shower. Give me a pattern with chances and hopefully we score on some opportunities.

Since @canderson is out of town this weekend, I will take the lead in the wind update department…. ”This wind is terrible….. I am worried about my siding and trash cans today!”

They.0z Canadian shows the potential for next Sunday with a storm tracking under us.

Yes, I have heard this folklore in the past and have seen it work out from time to time. Let’s see if it holds true at the end of next week.

Lol….it is January 13th !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

I got .35 today in Marysville.

I realize that your chart only includes Dec to Feb snow, but a few of those snow seasons at MDT were MUCH BETTER than what you implied above. March 2017 had a major coastal storm mid month that brought about 17 inches of snow. March of 2018 had at least 15 inches of snow in March/early April. Mid November of 2018 brought the 8 to 9 inch snow event. Early March of 2019 brought over 12 inches with a few snow Events during the first week of the month. This is just off of the top of my head, but the whole story needs told for these snow seasons overall. We have had several above average snow seasons at MDT over the last decade.

Good agreement today on the latest Operational model runs showing our potential next Winter storm chance on the 22/23. I would like to see the next frame or 2 of the 12z Euro. The 18z GFS is a nice hit for most of CTP. The Canadian also has a storm at day 10.

Same here with frost.

Well done! I am happy that you had the chance to put this together! I enjoyed the new twist with this being set in the future!

Lol…..but I thought that Winter is over due to the historic fail and it is never going to snow again & stuff….lol?!?

Long range outlook looks good from around the 20th onward according to the ensembles. Also, many of us saw a little snow earlier today…so it’s not quite a shut out. It’s not good now, but again, plenty of time to turn it around.

Lol….see you at 0z ….

I appreciate your knowledge & perspective on weather in our region over the decades. I realize it’s not good now, but a rough start does not mean that we will end up having a terrible season when the snow counting in done in March or April.

For those that can only remember a year or 2 back…. Let’s recall the recent Winter of 20-21. We had the mid December major snowstorm that brought about 11 inches to MDT. That 1 storm put us well above average through at least mid January. Then there was No more snow in December or January until the very last day of the month! The second major storm hit on January 31st into February 1st and brought around 12 inches to MDT. The February snow total was just shy of 20 inches. We ended up with an above average total near 36 inches of snow at MDT thanks mainly to 2 major storms. My point is this… we are only a few chapters in to this Winter season. The book has a long way to go.

It doesn’t matter to me when or how we get our snow… Lots of time!

Lol…we have 3 months yet to score snow. Again….MDT only averages 7.4 inches of snow through today… The majority of our seasonal snow comes in the second half of January, February & March!

Here is a little more perspective… In the fabled Winter of 09-10, we only had 3 Winter storms in central PA. December 09 and the 2 early February storms. They happened to be major storms and that Winter will be forever remembered as epic. We had No snow in January or March! Maybe this year we get 2 great storms in February again and another good storm in early March?

Look back over the decades…. Many of our Winters that end up close to average are made up of a few good weeks of cold & storms. Maybe late January 20th to February 10th will be a good period with a few Warning level events? Then maybe we have 1 more good run from February 20th to March 10th that will bring us to near average for the season. Bottom line…lots of time yet to score snow.

Like I just posted…MDT only averages 7.4 through today’s date, so we really are not too far behind. We can make up ground quickly…