Jump to content

The 4 Seasons

Meteorologist
  • Posts

    7,999
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by The 4 Seasons

  1. Yeah and? Euro had a major storm that cycle. And the AIs did not, i knew the Euro op would waffle like that, but I never gave up fully on the threat of something like a scraper.
  2. I just saw it I'll talk to you in the morning
  3. GEFS will be interesting i bet some good hits in there. I knew there was something up with this storm i never gave up fully on it, gonna want to see some more tics though and ec to come on board as well
  4. If that isn't a clear trend, I don't know what is
  5. GFS is a tick or two away from being a full snowstorm here. The model that was furthest south and wanted nothing to do with this storm is now the most aggressive
  6. That was the sentiment at the time AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION..FINAL AFTN.. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 414 PM EST SUN MAR 4 2001 ...SEVERE STORM COMPARABLE OR WILL EXCEED THE BLIZZARD OF 78 FOR SNE WITH 60 HR DURATION OF SNW AND MAX INTENSITY OF WORST CONDS 18Z TUE-00Z WED AND HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE HIGHLY LIKELY TO OCCUR PARTS OF E MA COAST...DRAG
  7. Eta, Avn, NGM, NOGAPS People think the NAM and HRRR is bad, they have idea about the NGM
  8. We do, uh have a rather big storm on our hands, it'll rival the Blizzard of 1978... EVEN STRONGER
  9. Foot meet mouth I could never forget that one. Ima do something special for Mar 2001
  10. Icon/EPS will save us.... Knew more surprises were coming, I fully expect to be teased again at 06Z/12Z euro suite... Storm won't die
  11. Thank God I didn't have to live through the shitty 80s, being 0-4 i have zero memory of anything from then. Pretty much just 2000 and beyond
  12. You're doin better than Joe i think he forgot Jan 26 already. I guess 4"/hr was a bit conservative. That seems almost unbelievable I've heard of 7-8"/hr but damn
  13. Damn I only got 13 and I was pretty stoked considering i was expecting 10-16
  14. Thanks i never made a post about it here but you can read about it here. There's also a website updates page to see what's new every week, it's always a continual work in progress. 25-26 storms are being updated in near real time on the dedicated page for it.
  15. So what's your memory of the events of 2016? Initially the record wasn't broken with 26.8" and after 2 or 3 months they changed it to 27.5" based on surrounding obs and radar. Didn't that storm shake up measurement guidelines for the city and the guy doing official measurements get replaced or something?
  16. What did i say just a few hours ago lol...more teases coming We'll see more today and tonight. Every day the euro suite is baiting us.
  17. lol. can't win em all I'm sure a lot of NYC folks would feel the same about Mar 2017...even Dec 2003 it looks like around your area did very well compared to the city. That storm blew chunks here. Dry slot city. Orange county definitely got some of the goods that storm.
  18. 20 years. I recently re-mapped this storm and included a new map for the lower northeast with climate sites on it. I have a full radar loop and bunch more stuff up on our site. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/feb-11-12-2006
  19. Today (and yesterday) is the 20th anniversary of the Feb 11-12th, 2006 Blizzard. An intense band from BOS to NYC dropped 16-27" of snow at rates over 4" per hour during the early morning and afternoon hours of the 12th. Widespread thunder was reported in the NYC area and i believe they picked up 10" of snow in 2 hours. In honor of this historic blizzard i recently re-mapped the entire event and included a new L. Northeast map with all the climo sites. I got a full radar animation on our site along with a bunch of other images related to the storm. Fun fact: This storm broke the all-time record in NYC with 26.9" that held for about 10 years when it was finally broken in 2016 with 27.5". Initially the record held as the final storm total in 2016 was 26.8", missed it by one tenth of an inch. But after nearly 2-3 months later, OKX reanalyzed the event and based on surrounding obs and radar they determined that it was an under report and changed it to 27.5". So the NYC record is technically an estimate rather than a direct ob. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/feb-11-12-2006
  20. -Like 1 in a thousand? -More like... 1 in a million. ineedsnow:
×
×
  • Create New...