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The 4 Seasons

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by The 4 Seasons

  1. This whole thread is gold. Sending you good mojo from SNE. Id much rather see you guys get pounded than my NNE counterparts. You deserve it after the last 2 years.
  2. its been very consisten since it jumped on it from the very first run wed night. This is the first run from 12/10 00Z. Looks pretty familiar. 174hr.
  3. I'm not claiming any win or victory of anything yet but i appreciate the acknowledgement. Any forecast is still on the table right now. We have a good 40+hrs to go and lots can change. Everything still looks good and on track for the those amounts though. Stay the course and wait for any appreciable trend or coop and adjust accordingly. It's good to see those watches up though for 12-17" to back my call. 2nd update tomorrow (possible) and final call Wednesday AM or Tuesday night.
  4. 00Z EPS. Snow probs: QPF probs: Max Wind Gust Total QPF: Total Snow 10:1 MSLP, 850 T, 6-Hr QPF:
  5. you know what algorithm these use, is it some in house special or based off of kuchera, cobb,etc?
  6. Everything looks on track from the initial call 24hrs ago for 12-20 statewide, see no real reason to update it atm. Well see what Tuesdays runs bring and ill adjust accordingly. We're close enough were im gonna dive into BUFKIT tonight when i get some time. Great runs overall though.
  7. any accumulations for anyone in CT please send them my way plz
  8. That's true. But i've always liked to compare the 00z and 12z runs as they have new upper air data to work with. A couple years ago we wouldn't have even had the 6Z (or 18Z) to even look at. Here's the 6Z run for comparison. I'm out for now, see yall later tonight.
  9. 653 days to be exact. Probably going to do a second call tomorrow morning afternoon ish and then a final call Wednesday AM. Still like my call of 12-20 across CT atm. Still 60hrs to go from the 12Z cycle. Lots can change.
  10. i know ive been checking periodically, looks like its gonna come out thursday morning at this point. Cave to what? The op GFS? Not likely.
  11. Did you touch your nose with your finger as you typed that lie?
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