Jump to content

The 4 Seasons

Meteorologist
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    6,449

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by The 4 Seasons

  1. The 4 Seasons
    Right. Thats my point. And at the moment, not buying it.
  2. The 4 Seasons
    Theres no doubt watches are going to be expanded today, question is how far
  3. The 4 Seasons
    Some of my met friends are worried more about slotting in CT than mixing, saying its pretty much a guarantee, i don't see it. I dont see any slotting on that EC run. NAM on the other hand...
  4. The 4 Seasons
    im not even considering a change until i see the 18/00Z runs today. Windshield wiper forecasting based on a model run (or two) at this range is never a good idea. You go to 6-12 then tomorrow morning you're back up to 8-16. EC is holding pretty steady more or less and still supports around a foot + for most of CT.
  5. The 4 Seasons
    Smoke exhaust please.
  6. The 4 Seasons
    Same hour, zoomed
  7. The 4 Seasons
    This whole thread is gold. Sending you good mojo from SNE. Id much rather see you guys get pounded than my NNE counterparts. You deserve it after the last 2 years.
  8. The 4 Seasons
    @weathafella RPM
  9. The 4 Seasons
    wheres that GFS16 meme you posted yesterday @dendrite
  10. The 4 Seasons
    Boo CT stations
  11. The 4 Seasons
    its been very consisten since it jumped on it from the very first run wed night. This is the first run from 12/10 00Z. Looks pretty familiar. 174hr.
  12. The 4 Seasons
    I'm not claiming any win or victory of anything yet but i appreciate the acknowledgement. Any forecast is still on the table right now. We have a good 40+hrs to go and lots can change. Everything still looks good and on track for the those amounts though. Stay the course and wait for any appreciable trend or coop and adjust accordingly. It's good to see those watches up though for 12-17" to back my call. 2nd update tomorrow (possible) and final call Wednesday AM or Tuesday night.
  13. The 4 Seasons
    No clue how that happened.. thanks @BGM Blizzard
  14. The 4 Seasons
    Here's the demon...
  15. The 4 Seasons
    oh i meant im posting them now..
  16. The 4 Seasons
    00Z EPS. Snow probs: QPF probs: Max Wind Gust Total QPF: Total Snow 10:1 MSLP, 850 T, 6-Hr QPF:
  17. The 4 Seasons
    yeah, ha 20-24 sounds nice.EPS coming now.
  18. The 4 Seasons
    IBM & RPM for @weathafella
  19. The 4 Seasons
    you know what algorithm these use, is it some in house special or based off of kuchera, cobb,etc?
  20. The 4 Seasons
    GFS sends its love from Bermuda.
  21. The 4 Seasons
    Everything looks on track from the initial call 24hrs ago for 12-20 statewide, see no real reason to update it atm. Well see what Tuesdays runs bring and ill adjust accordingly. We're close enough were im gonna dive into BUFKIT tonight when i get some time. Great runs overall though.
  22. The 4 Seasons
    Can you post some of the models form EuroWX
  23. The 4 Seasons
    any accumulations for anyone in CT please send them my way plz
  24. The 4 Seasons
    That's true. But i've always liked to compare the 00z and 12z runs as they have new upper air data to work with. A couple years ago we wouldn't have even had the 6Z (or 18Z) to even look at. Here's the 6Z run for comparison. I'm out for now, see yall later tonight.
  25. The 4 Seasons
    Side by side 00Z vs. 12Z qpf on the EC.
×
×
  • Create New...