Random Chaos

FV3-Hires 0z looks good at end of run, very similar 500mb to 18z GFS.

I feel like GFS is back!

They are flying today: II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS 1. FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 75 A. 27/0000Z B. AFXXX 15WSE IOP15 C. 26/1830Z D. 25 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM APART WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY: 30.0N 150.0W, 30.0N 130.0W, 50.0N 130.0W, AND 50.0N 150.0W E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 26/2030Z TO 27/0230Z 2. FLIGHT TWO - TEAL 77 A. 27/0000Z B. AFXXX 03WSC IOP15 C. 26/1830Z D. 25 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM APART WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY: 40.0N 175.0W, 40.0N 150.0W, 20.0N 150.0W, AND 20.0N 175.0W E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 26/2030Z TO 27/0230Z And tomorrow: II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS 1. FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 74 A. 28/0000Z B. AFXXX 16WSE IOP16 C. 27/1700Z (CORRECTED) D. 25 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM APART WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY: 35.0N 125.0W, 35.0N 155.0W, 50.0N 155.0W, AND 50.0N 125.0W E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 27/2030Z TO 28/0230Z 2. FLIGHT TWO - TEAL 77 A. 28/0000Z B. AF309 03WSC IOP16 C. 27/1845Z D. 25 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM APART WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY: 40.0N 165.0W, 40.0N 145.0W, 20.0N 145.0W, AND 20.0N 165.0W E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 27/2030Z TO 28/0230Z

Wonder how these new models released today check out? https://finance.yahoo.com/news/nvidia-unveils-ai-models-faster-194409918.html

IAD Soundin

20.0F / 6.1F

Sterling radar showing virga at about 3000 ft beam height now, full circle around the radar.

22.2/6.0 winds gusting to 32mph

Those are some crazy snowfall rates at 11am Sunday on the RGEM.

Seems as modeled to me. Right now I am 38.7F. Most recent NAM calls for 39F. 24 hours ago NAM called for 37. Seems pretty good.

SREFs for DCA Look good https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/srefplumes/

Only reason NAM is the worst is the CRAS model got retired.

GFS has the Christmas Day storm back.

Crazy lightning in the storm again, surrounding the reforming eye.

Pure steam outside. 93% humidity. Temperature 80.2 dp 78.0.