Maestrobjwa

Yep just as wrong as it could be, lol But you'd think this time we don't circle back to another nina but at least a warm neutral (as somebody in our sub said earlier).

So somebody big just passed gas? *Banishes himself to the elementary corner*

Yeah I didn't really mean that literally. Now tbh, I'm still learning about longwave maps and such, so I saw blue over us and orange north of us and thought "hey a better look!" But I was speaking more in general though--2018 was more of what I had in mind. When we had all that blocking 3 weeks too late!

Let me ask you this (and my apologies if this has been discussed already): Is the SER a direct result of these SSTs...or is that driven by something else? Someone answered earlier it was a nina thing, but given how strong it's been I was wondering if those warm waters were a cause.

I'd like a copyright on that last one--let that be my valuable contribution for this winter

Rocking us to sleep perhaps

Personally I don't mind it TOO much--it's the atmospheric trolling (that is, getting a look then we couldn't get all winter) that is rather annoying, haha

With the number of times this has happened the last 8 years...you can argue persistence...you know it's coming

Ohhh that SER...makes you wish somebody could get a huge atmospheric glove beat the daylights out of it, lol Now, here's what I'm wondering: How much of what we've seen with the stout SER typical Nina climo, and how much is just something anomalous? And you have to wonder with our base...ya know...will wall-to-wall SER even in late Dec/January become more of a norm?

Guess I'm not allowed to post anything in LR anymore, smh People take shots even if I say one thing that ain't out of bounds! I'm doing what I'm supposed to do but people still takin' shots and throwing bait. Man I could be better for the next two years and somebody STILL gonna say something...get outta here with that.

Well then leave me the heck alone and stop throwing shots for no reason whatsoever. What disease "have I come up with"? What? We all want snow and miss it, I just have to continue to get better of managing it and not making it too big of a thing. But it gets harder to do that if y'all keep attacking me after the fact. I'd still like to converse because we're all snow weenies, but now I'm afraid every post no matter what (and no matter how few posts on the day) is gonna get ridiculed just because of before. Can't please nobody, smh ....I'm sorry I derailed the thread. But I had to go on the defensive again.

HEY--it's called IGNORE! Y'all are driving me up the wall throwin' the past right back at me when I'm doing trying to do better. Get on my frickin' nerves all of you! How about if somebody held all YOUR mistakes over your head for the rest of YOUR life???

Yeah as far as that's concerned I don't think that's a thing...we just act like it is, lol

I believe you meant to say the law of we're due WDI

THIS, lol Like I said a little while ago, the whole idea of starting a separate thread when there's not much else going on seems a bit silly to me.

So on a technicality it wasn't really a clipper?

Thought that was February that year? (I remember it happening on V-Day unless that was another one)

Yeah but maybe he actually wants to call the plays? Lol

You do realize that if we get frozen while you're here, we can't let you leave, right?

That's the exact example I was thinking of! The good ol' bud n' freeze we do so well...lol

While I'm not into gardening (though I may try it at some point), I wouldn't trust this climo. Man I can see a cold March snap-back damaging buds, lol

So now the question is is that (Aleutian ridge) just random bad luck, or is it....base? Lol

Yeah this is bad even for nina standards. I mean I don't remember a nina that was practically wall-to-wall warm like this. In Feb, maybe (in fact just saw a fb memory of getting an inch or two a day after it was 70, lol)...but definitely not on the front end! This was kinda wonky

Well then what would you like to call it? I mean I do get the annoyance because it conjures up "not gonna snow as much" vibes/fears, BUT...I am wondering if there's actually a way to quantify what that "state" actually is.

Ya wanna get rid of me that badly, smh (despite me cutting my posts down since last month). Hey uh...don't wanna see me post? How about not @ing me just to randomly insult! P.S. On the off-chance this was NOT an insult...ya know, I don't know if I ever fully "close up shop" on here...because now I'll be following the ENSO. Definitely much less involvement overall given that takes weeks and months...but I'll still be around (I poke my nose in severe occasionally)