Maestrobjwa

First of all: Let the record show that I said none of these aspersions this time, and that you bringing them up is distracting the thread. You attempted to read my mind psychoanalyze me (and in this case it was an inaccurate analysis of my current thinking) and basically made the kind post I'm now avoiding making in here. Why are you trying to start something? My response to Ji was nothing more than exactly what I said. There is uncertainty given how early it is I have low/no expectations for the enso state as of now, even if it does end up being a niño. 1) It IS early 2) We don't even know if mod niños still work 3) neutrals aren't that good lately so if that's the net result that may not work either. We just don't know because again...it's EARLY And that is all I meant. The rest you added, lol

Yeah but are we actually at a moderate nina right now? (Does somebody have the current numbers?)

Did you miss the "uncertainty remains high" part? Lol And I scarcely doubt this is some quadruple nina. Someone else can weigh in though. Sounds like we just can't know yet...but I've heard that currently, deep down things are warming. But that's all we know, I think.

Pretty sure Beethoven did that a lot...lol

I'm not sure any model provokes an audible groan more than the SREF...I think even the JMA has more respect, lol

Speaking of that...and I asked this once before but did not screenshot the response...Why is it we don't get ice storms like this up here that often? And I'm wondering...say our climo changes so much in the future that we become the south...wonder if that means we get more ice storms?

Well not like the slight respite we got from it did us much good anyway!

I'm not sure even Joe Clark can save things...but then again he could grab his mega phone and tell the SER to get back to Central Atlantic class.

Don't worry that was mostly tongue-in-cheek (mostly ) Now I do have this thing where, no matter how awful it's been, I still keeping one eye out until that weekend passes--that weekend is like the last game of the season for better or worse, lol

PD weekend let's go

I think some may take that over the rise of Maestro

No matter what we still have more good niños than bad. Since neutral doesn't work anymore, it's still better to roll the dice on those than other enso states!

That part of it to me seems more anomalous. SNE has not had the problems we've had down here the last 7 years...So I don't know if that's "base state" or if things even for them have been declining.

You know we do that well, lol It seems like there was a winter several years ago where we were heading for the futility record...but then got some March slop that got it up to like 2 inches, lol I mean it's unfortunate to even be in the running for that record, but hey ya nay as well go for it if it's there But again, we could end up like a bad team in position to get the #1 overall pick as long as they lose the last game...but then ends up winning their last game instead, lol

I'll never understand Texas...dang Gulf of Mexico right there and they can still get colder than us, lol

No, no! Caw caw belongs to the Ravens, lol Fly Eagles fly is theirs!

My goodness McCaffrey! Beast mode vibes indeed, lol

That was a chess not checkers analysis

It's because Mahomes is so good. Brady effect basically as far as being the gatekeepers of the AFC. Now they alllllways up there...

Hope you're wrong about that part! I'm not giving up on that yet...Actually, it appears that most of the KU HECS (I'm assuming that means 12"+?) came during El Niños--of which we've had none during this 7 year period! Just thinking now...2016, 2010, 2003, 1996, 1983, 1978-79, ...only Niña in that bunch where we got 2 feet was the ever anomalous 1996. We'll have to see what happens next year: Next year is gonna determine a lot, actually (assuming a healthy niño forms)

This is why I'm starting to become skeptical that a legit moderate niño is gonna make a difference.

Definitely gonna take something a bit flukey--Aside from an almost extinct clipper, I don't know what could even get us on the board. A front end thump deal maybe...Record for latest snowfall is Feb 21st. I don't know what happened in 1973, but it feels like we'd be hard pressed to get it, lol

And after that...it's pretty much a shutout pattern, isn't it? All I saw on the EPS and GEFS earlier was +NAO far as the model eye can go, smh

There's a reason I deleted that post, lol

Can't delete the TV or the outdoors though, lolol (man somebody gonna pounce on the kitty litter bit I know it, haha)