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Maestrobjwa

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Everything posted by Maestrobjwa

  1. Maestrobjwa
    Yeah I'd pretty much bet the table against suppression. So this either hits us flush or cuts--a GFS would be befuddling after all the SE ridge this season
  2. Maestrobjwa
  3. Maestrobjwa
    @Ralph Wiggum Lo and behold the EPS goes and pops a...PNA ridge (did I identify that right?)
  4. Maestrobjwa
    Yeah I get ya. But yeah the pac doesn't appear that it wants to go hostile either as of now. But, still a way to go, and yes--I think at this juncture the Atl probably is more important since it's only been our biggest snow nemesis, lol
  5. Maestrobjwa
    Yep...pretty much a run. Still Day 10 though--very general idea
  6. Maestrobjwa
    Meanwhile Euro got a little slider at hr 156...
  7. Maestrobjwa
    Hey look! A positive tick inside 200 hrs (and not on an off-hour run either) Not yet a trend, but...we ain't had even this much at this range yet, lol Let's see if it carries over the next couple Zs... @Ralph Wiggum Why sad emoji? SER looks a bit better here, no?
  8. Maestrobjwa
    So basically a Cat 5 under each wing? Sounds a bit turbulent
  9. Maestrobjwa
    Canadian tried to do the thing...a bit suppresed this run, but at least it ain't show another cutter (every model run that DOESN'T show a cutter for that time frame is good..no, GREAT run, haha)
  10. Maestrobjwa
    I'm gonna go out on a limb and say if next week does indeed fail it won't be from suppresion...I'd bet my next paycheck on that too if I were a gambler, lol Ain't no way with that ridge being what it is that the moisture gets suppresed! Now interestingly only the 18z gfs has shown a cutter...everybody else has shown moisture south. Something to watch, I suppose...
  11. Maestrobjwa
    Whoa!!! Congratulations man! Well that certainly trumps even snow--yeah it's not worth it to have any attention divided to what's been going on. P.S. If it snows after your child is born we will certainly need to give it (boy or girl?) a username already
  12. Maestrobjwa
    Absolutely agree with your point about the op runs and such. But I will say though...if you indeed maintain general optimism for the season even in the face of this...sir that is commendable!
  13. Maestrobjwa
    And you know what? Getting modoki niño next winter might not even matter dude...like our historically best enso state. I mean...ordinarily you'd be encouraged by it but I'm not so sure it even works. And the SER...do we even know if that calms down next year? Smh
  14. Maestrobjwa
    Now in particular I was referring to the SER.
  15. Maestrobjwa
    Yeah but again though...given this year? I have my doubts...what, is the dang SER gonna just suddenly disappear at the start of March? Lol I mean I know the nina is on the way out, but even still...ehh
  16. Maestrobjwa
    How would that happen with SE ridge being what it is?
  17. Maestrobjwa
    Isn't this rather excessive even for a nina, though?
  18. Maestrobjwa
    I have muted expectations...but just going off of history...even we aren't THAT mediocre. If we can't break through with something big, I'd bet we'll get something where we measure just enough not to break that futility record, haha
  19. Maestrobjwa
    Hard to believe we get absolutely shut out. I mean...even our lowest year at 0.7" managed 0.5" of those in January, lol
  20. Maestrobjwa
    Now I did see that...wasn't sure how to interpret what was going on with the pacific and whether that was a bit of a +PNA or something else unrelated.
  21. Maestrobjwa
    Now listen...even in all my neurosis about snow, one thing even I don't do too much is take a LR op run as pure gospel. C'mon y'all, lol
  22. Maestrobjwa
    Yeeeeah it's drunk alright
  23. Maestrobjwa
    I mean the Euro solution we ain't seen all winter (have we?) I mean that SE ridge ain't surrendered to quite that extent save the temporary arctic front Christmas Eve/Day. So you'd think the solution would be either the GFS or something between that and the euro control...
  24. Maestrobjwa
    Nah not sayin' that either...but I'd argue for an exception in winters like this one. Clemency for extraordinary circumstances
  25. Maestrobjwa
    Except in this case we already know it's been bad, lol It's like once a newspaper reports on a bad situation...after awhile it ain't nothin' else to talk about if there are no further updates. Monday: The building burned down Tuesday: Building still burned down Tuesday (a month later): Building is still burned, lol (wow what an update!)
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